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Chilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)

Everton de Vina vs Concepción: 0-2 result and AI prediction review

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina0 – 2ConcepciónConcepción

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Everton de Vina 0-2 Concepción. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Everton de Vina (70%), while victory for Concepción was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): missed.

Match analysis

Everton de Vina and Concepción met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Chilean Primera División, matchday 27 fixture. Venue: Sausalito, Vina del Mar. Before kick-off, our model gave Everton de Vina a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Concepción 11%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (13.7%), followed by 1-0 (13.3%) and 3-0 (9.4%).

Everton de Vina have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Concepción have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Everton de Vina score 1.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Concepción score 0.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Everton de Vina sit 5th with 40 points from 26 games, Concepción 8th with 35 points from 26. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Everton de Vina have averaged 1.70 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.82 for Concepción.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Everton de Vina, 0 for Concepción and 0 draws. The most recent ended Concepción 0-2 Everton de Vina (May 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "Everton de Vina or draw" stands at 89%, "Concepción or draw" at 30% and "no draw" at 81%.

In short : Our model backs Everton de Vina to edge Concepción (70% probability). In the table, Everton de Vina (5th, 40 pts) host Concepción (8th, 35 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 43%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

70%
Everton de Vina (Win)
19%
Draw
11%
Concepción (Win)

Double chance

89%
Everton de Vina or draw
30%
Concepción or draw
81%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Everton de Vina – Concepción. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Everton de Vina 2-0 Concepción13.7%
Everton de Vina 1-0 Concepción13.3%
Everton de Vina 3-0 Concepción9.4%
Everton de Vina 2-1 Concepción9.3%
Everton de Vina 1-1 Concepción9.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.06 expected goals for Everton de Vina and 0.68 for Concepción, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 52% and "both teams to score" at 43%. Everton de Vina keep a clean sheet in 51% of scenarios, Concepción in 13%.

Probability
Everton de Vina expected goals2.06
Concepción expected goals0.68
Both teams to score43%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Everton de Vina clean sheet51%
Concepción clean sheet13%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Everton de Vina

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Cobresal · Chilean Primera División2-2D
Oct 26, 2026Universidad de Chile · Chilean Primera División1-4L
Oct 11, 2026D. La Serena · Chilean Primera División3-2W
Sep 27, 2026Universidad de Chile · Copa Chile1-1D
Sep 27, 2026Universidad de Chile · Copa Chile0-1L

Concepción

DateOpponentScore
Nov 2, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División1-0W
Oct 24, 2026D. La Serena · Chilean Primera División1-3L
Oct 11, 2026Union La Calera · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Oct 4, 2026O'Higgins · Copa Chile0-2L
Oct 1, 2026O'Higgins · Copa Chile0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Everton de Vina54026
Concepción83526

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 18, 2026Concepción 0-2 Everton de VinaChilean Primera División

Out and doubtful

Everton de Vina

No absences reported.

Concepción

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Everton de Vina

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Moya5/5
  • A. Medina4/5
  • L. Soto4/5
  • B. Berríos3/5
  • D. Oyarzún3/5
  • E. Ramos3/5
  • I. González3/5
  • N. Baeza3/5
  • N. Montiel3/5
  • V. Vidal3/5
  • B. Berrios2/5

Concepción

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Espinoza5/5
  • F. Grillo5/5
  • J. Larrivey5/5
  • M. Sandoval5/5
  • N. Araya5/5
  • D. Varas4/5
  • N. Rodríguez3/5
  • A. Caceres2/5
  • A. Cáceres2/5
  • C. Riquelme2/5
  • J. Henriquez2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Everton de Vina vs Concepción prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Everton de Vina a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Concepción 11%. Everton de Vina are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Everton de Vina vs Concepción?

2-0 (13.7%), followed by 1-0 (13.3%), 3-0 (9.4%), 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-1 (9.0%).

Will both teams score in Everton de Vina vs Concepción?

The probability that both Everton de Vina and Concepción score is 43%. Everton de Vina have a 51% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Concepción 13%.

How many goals should we expect in Everton de Vina vs Concepción?

The model expects 2.74 goals (2.06 for Everton de Vina, 0.68 for Concepción). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 52%, over 3.5 goals 30%.

When and where is Everton de Vina vs Concepción played?

Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 27. Venue: Sausalito, Vina del Mar.

What form are Everton de Vina and Concepción in?

Everton de Vina: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded). Concepción: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Everton de Vina and Concepción?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Everton de Vina, 0 for Concepción and 0 draws. The most recent ended Concepción 0-2 Everton de Vina (May 18, 2026).

What was the Everton de Vina vs Concepción result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Everton de Vina 0-2 Concepción. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Everton de Vina (70%), while victory for Concepción was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): missed.

How is the Everton de Vina vs Concepción prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.06 for Everton de Vina, 0.68 for Concepción) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained