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Chilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)

U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

U. CatolicaU. Catolica3 – 0Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: U. Catolica 3-0 Deportes Limache. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for U. Catolica at 38%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.8%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

U. Catolica and Deportes Limache met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Chilean Primera División, matchday 27 fixture. Venue: San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago. Before kick-off, our model gave U. Catolica a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportes Limache 36%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (9.1%).

U. Catolica have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Deportes Limache have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Deportes Limache therefore arrive in far better shape than U. Catolica. On average U. Catolica score 0.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Deportes Limache score 1.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, U. Catolica sit 3rd with 46 points from 26 games, Deportes Limache 4th with 40 points from 26. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, U. Catolica have averaged 1.17 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.53 for Deportes Limache.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for U. Catolica, 0 for Deportes Limache and 0 draws. The most recent ended Deportes Limache 0-2 U. Catolica (May 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "U. Catolica or draw" stands at 64%, "Deportes Limache or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : U. Catolica and Deportes Limache meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 26%). In the table, U. Catolica (3rd, 46 pts) host Deportes Limache (4th, 40 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

38%
U. Catolica (Win)
26%
Draw
36%
Deportes Limache (Win)

Double chance

64%
U. Catolica or draw
62%
Deportes Limache or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as U. Catolica – Deportes Limache. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
U. Catolica 1-1 Deportes Limache12.3%
U. Catolica 1-0 Deportes Limache9.3%
U. Catolica 0-1 Deportes Limache9.1%
U. Catolica 2-1 Deportes Limache8.3%
U. Catolica 1-2 Deportes Limache8.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.35 expected goals for U. Catolica and 1.33 for Deportes Limache, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 55%. U. Catolica keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Deportes Limache in 26%.

Probability
U. Catolica expected goals1.35
Deportes Limache expected goals1.33
Both teams to score55%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
U. Catolica clean sheet26%
Deportes Limache clean sheet26%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

U. Catolica

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Universidad de Chile · Chilean Primera División1-0W
Oct 28, 2026A. Italiano · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Oct 25, 2026Union La Calera · Chilean Primera División1-3L
Sep 27, 2026Union La Calera · Copa Chile0-0D
Sep 24, 2026Union La Calera · Copa Chile1-1D

Deportes Limache

DateOpponentScore
Nov 2, 2026A. Italiano · Chilean Primera División2-0W
Oct 25, 2026Universidad de Concepcion · Chilean Primera División1-0W
Oct 12, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División2-2D
Sep 15, 2026Union La Calera · Chilean Primera División0-1L
Sep 8, 2026Cobresal · Chilean Primera División3-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
U. Catolica34626
Deportes Limache44026

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Deportes Limache 0-2 U. CatolicaChilean Primera División

Out and doubtful

U. Catolica

No absences reported.

Deportes Limache

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

U. Catolica

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Zampedri5/5
  • C. Cuevas4/5
  • F. Zuqui4/5
  • J. Valencia4/5
  • D. Corral3/5
  • E. Mena3/5
  • M. Palavecino3/5
  • S. Arancibia3/5
  • V. Bernedo3/5
  • A. Farias2/5
  • A. Farías2/5

Deportes Limache

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Javier Rojas5/5
  • A. Aguirre3/5
  • A. Parot3/5
  • C. Fuentes3/5
  • D. Castro3/5
  • D. Escobar3/5
  • G. Sosa3/5
  • J. Meneses3/5
  • Alfonso Parot2/5
  • Augusto Aguirre2/5
  • César2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave U. Catolica a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportes Limache 36%. U. Catolica are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache?

1-1 (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (9.3%), 0-1 (9.1%), 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.2%).

Will both teams score in U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache?

The probability that both U. Catolica and Deportes Limache score is 55%. U. Catolica have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Deportes Limache 26%.

How many goals should we expect in U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache?

The model expects 2.68 goals (1.35 for U. Catolica, 1.33 for Deportes Limache). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache played?

Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 27. Venue: San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago.

What form are U. Catolica and Deportes Limache in?

U. Catolica: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded). Deportes Limache: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between U. Catolica and Deportes Limache?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for U. Catolica, 0 for Deportes Limache and 0 draws. The most recent ended Deportes Limache 0-2 U. Catolica (May 17, 2026).

What was the U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: U. Catolica 3-0 Deportes Limache. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for U. Catolica at 38%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.8%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.35 for U. Catolica, 1.33 for Deportes Limache) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained