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Chilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins: 3-2 result and AI prediction review

Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion3 – 2O'HigginsO'Higgins

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Universidad de Concepcion 3-2 O'Higgins. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for O'Higgins (40%), while victory for Universidad de Concepcion was rated at only 31%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.

Match analysis

Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins was played on Sunday, November 8, 2026 (Chilean Primera División, matchday 27). Venue: Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion, Concepcion. Before kick-off, our model gave Universidad de Concepcion a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and O'Higgins 40%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.3%), ahead of 0-1 (13.2%) and 1-0 (11.2%).

Universidad de Concepcion have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 12. Over their last 5 matches, O'Higgins have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with O'Higgins. On average Universidad de Concepcion score 0.60 and concede 2.40 goals per game; O'Higgins score 1.00 and concede 0.60. In the table, Universidad de Concepcion sit 15th with 23 points from 26 games, O'Higgins 12th with 31 points from 26. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Universidad de Concepcion have averaged 1.30 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.26 for O'Higgins.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Universidad de Concepcion, 1 for O'Higgins and 2 draws. The most recent ended O'Higgins 0-1 Universidad de Concepcion (May 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Universidad de Concepcion or draw" stands at 60%, "O'Higgins or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 71%.

In short : O'Higgins are favourites for this Universidad de Concepcion v O'Higgins, with a 40% win probability from our model. On recent form, Universidad de Concepcion are struggling (4 losses in 5) while O'Higgins have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

31%
Universidad de Concepcion (Win)
29%
Draw
40%
O'Higgins (Win)

Double chance

60%
Universidad de Concepcion or draw
69%
O'Higgins or draw
71%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Universidad de Concepcion – O'Higgins. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Universidad de Concepcion 1-1 O'Higgins13.3%
Universidad de Concepcion 0-1 O'Higgins13.2%
Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 O'Higgins11.2%
Universidad de Concepcion 0-0 O'Higgins11.1%
Universidad de Concepcion 1-2 O'Higgins7.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.20 goals in total (1.01 for Universidad de Concepcion, 1.19 for O'Higgins): over 2.5 goals has a 38% probability and both teams to score 44%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Universidad de Concepcion keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, O'Higgins in 36%.

Probability
Universidad de Concepcion expected goals1.01
O'Higgins expected goals1.19
Both teams to score44%
Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Universidad de Concepcion clean sheet30%
O'Higgins clean sheet36%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Universidad de Concepcion

DateOpponentScore
Oct 30, 2026Colo Colo · Chilean Primera División1-6L
Oct 25, 2026Deportes Limache · Chilean Primera División0-1L
Oct 10, 2026Cobresal · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Oct 3, 2026Huachipato · Chilean Primera División0-2L
Sep 6, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División1-2L

O'Higgins

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Nublense · Chilean Primera División1-0W
Oct 25, 2026Cobresal · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Oct 10, 2026Huachipato · Chilean Primera División0-2L
Oct 4, 2026Concepción · Copa Chile2-0W
Oct 1, 2026Concepción · Copa Chile1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Universidad de Concepcion152326
O'Higgins123126

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026O'Higgins 0-1 Universidad de ConcepcionPrimera División
Jan 20, 2021O'Higgins 0-0 Universidad de ConcepcionPrimera División
Sep 24, 2020Universidad de Concepcion 1-4 O'HigginsPrimera División
Oct 13, 2019O'Higgins 1-2 Universidad de ConcepcionPrimera División
May 26, 2019Universidad de Concepcion 1-1 O'HigginsPrimera División

Out and doubtful

Universidad de Concepcion

No absences reported.

O'Higgins

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Universidad de Concepcion

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Ogaz4/5
  • J. Broun4/5
  • M. Barbieri4/5
  • C. Waterman3/5
  • F. Mater3/5
  • H. Salgado3/5
  • J. Fuentealba3/5
  • M. González3/5
  • A. Díaz2/5
  • B. Saez2/5
  • L. Rojas2/5

O'Higgins

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Robledo5/5
  • N. Garrido5/5
  • A. Castillo4/5
  • W. Bou4/5
  • B. Yáñez3/5
  • Felipe Andrés Faúndez González3/5
  • L. Díaz3/5
  • O. Carabalí3/5
  • T. Avilés3/5
  • B. Yanez2/5
  • F. Ogaz2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Universidad de Concepcion a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and O'Higgins 40%. O'Higgins are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

1-1 (13.3%), followed by 0-1 (13.2%), 1-0 (11.2%), 0-0 (11.1%) and 1-2 (7.9%).

Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

The probability that both Universidad de Concepcion and O'Higgins score is 44%. Universidad de Concepcion have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, O'Higgins 36%.

How many goals should we expect in Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

The model expects 2.20 goals (1.01 for Universidad de Concepcion, 1.19 for O'Higgins). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 18%.

When and where is Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins played?

Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 27. Venue: Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion, Concepcion.

What form are Universidad de Concepcion and O'Higgins in?

Universidad de Concepcion: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 12 conceded). O'Higgins: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Universidad de Concepcion and O'Higgins?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Universidad de Concepcion, 1 for O'Higgins and 2 draws. The most recent ended O'Higgins 0-1 Universidad de Concepcion (May 16, 2026).

What was the Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Universidad de Concepcion 3-2 O'Higgins. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for O'Higgins (40%), while victory for Universidad de Concepcion was rated at only 31%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.

How is the Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.01 for Universidad de Concepcion, 1.19 for O'Higgins) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained