Chilean Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
D. La Serena vs Palestino: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: D. La Serena 1-0 Palestino. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for D. La Serena was the model's favourite outcome (47%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
Match analysis
D. La Serena vs Palestino was played on Saturday, November 7, 2026 (Chilean Primera División, matchday 27). Venue: La Portada, La Serena. Before kick-off, our model gave D. La Serena a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Palestino 29%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, D. La Serena have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Palestino have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average D. La Serena score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Palestino score 1.40 and concede 1.60. In the table, D. La Serena sit 10th with 34 points from 26 games, Palestino 6th with 38 points from 26. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, D. La Serena have averaged 1.50 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.31 for Palestino.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for D. La Serena, 1 for Palestino and 0 draws. The most recent ended Palestino 5-1 D. La Serena (May 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "D. La Serena or draw" stands at 71%, "Palestino or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs D. La Serena to edge Palestino (47% probability). On recent form, D. La Serena have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Palestino have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 56%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as D. La Serena – Palestino. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| D. La Serena 1-1 Palestino | 11.6% |
| D. La Serena 1-0 Palestino | 9.6% |
| D. La Serena 2-1 Palestino | 9.4% |
| D. La Serena 2-0 Palestino | 7.7% |
| D. La Serena 0-1 Palestino | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.83 goals in total (1.62 for D. La Serena, 1.21 for Palestino): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 56%. D. La Serena keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Palestino in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| D. La Serena expected goals | 1.62 |
| Palestino expected goals | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| D. La Serena clean sheet | 30% |
| Palestino clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
D. La Serena
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Huachipato · Chilean Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Concepción · Chilean Primera División | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton de Vina · Chilean Primera División | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Universidad de Chile · Chilean Primera División | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nublense · Chilean Primera División | 2-1 | W |
Palestino
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Concepción · Chilean Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Colo Colo · Chilean Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Deportes Limache · Chilean Primera División | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Alianza Lima · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | U. Catolica · Chilean Primera División | 2-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. La Serena | 10 | 34 | 26 |
| Palestino | 6 | 38 | 26 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Palestino 5-1 D. La Serena | Chilean Primera División |
Out and doubtful
D. La Serena
No absences reported.
Palestino
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
D. La Serena
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Mac Allister3/5
- G. Figueroa3/5
- I. Rasso3/5
- J. Tapia3/5
- J. Vargas3/5
- L. Alarcón3/5
- M. Marín3/5
- R. Delgado3/5
- Ángelo Henríquez2/5
- D. Rubio2/5
- F. Dinamarca2/5
Palestino
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Carrasco4/5
- C. Munder4/5
- D. Glaby4/5
- E. Roco4/5
- M. Eggel4/5
- S. Gallegos4/5
- G. Tapia3/5
- R. Fernández3/5
- S. Pérez3/5
- V. Espinoza3/5
- D. Zúñiga2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Everton de Vina 0-2 ConcepciónNov 7, 2026
- A. Italiano 0-1 Coquimbo UnidoNov 8, 2026
- U. Catolica 3-0 Deportes LimacheNov 8, 2026
- Universidad de Chile 2-1 CobresalNov 8, 2026
- Nublense 1-2 Colo ColoNov 8, 2026
- Union La Calera 1-0 HuachipatoNov 8, 2026
- Universidad de Concepcion 3-2 O'HigginsNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the D. La Serena vs Palestino prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave D. La Serena a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Palestino 29%. D. La Serena are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for D. La Serena vs Palestino?
1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (7.7%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in D. La Serena vs Palestino?
The probability that both D. La Serena and Palestino score is 56%. D. La Serena have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Palestino 20%.
How many goals should we expect in D. La Serena vs Palestino?
The model expects 2.83 goals (1.62 for D. La Serena, 1.21 for Palestino). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is D. La Serena vs Palestino played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 27. Venue: La Portada, La Serena.
What form are D. La Serena and Palestino in?
D. La Serena: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Palestino: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between D. La Serena and Palestino?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for D. La Serena, 1 for Palestino and 0 draws. The most recent ended Palestino 5-1 D. La Serena (May 16, 2026).
What was the D. La Serena vs Palestino result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: D. La Serena 1-0 Palestino. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for D. La Serena was the model's favourite outcome (47%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
How is the D. La Serena vs Palestino prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for D. La Serena, 1.21 for Palestino) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All D. La Serena predictions
- All Palestino predictions
- Chilean Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology