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Chilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 3-0

Final score: Universidad de Chile 2-1 Cobresal. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Universidad de Chile was the model's favourite outcome (83%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): correct.

Match analysis

Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal was played on Sunday, November 8, 2026 (Chilean Primera División, matchday 27). Venue: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago. Before kick-off, our model gave Universidad de Chile a 83% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Cobresal 7%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (8.1%), ahead of 3-1 (8.0%) and 4-0 (7.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Universidad de Chile have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 14 and conceding 4. Cobresal have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Universidad de Chile. On average Universidad de Chile score 2.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Cobresal score 1.40 and concede 1.80. In the table, Universidad de Chile sit 2nd with 48 points from 26 games, Cobresal 14th with 27 points from 26. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Universidad de Chile have averaged 2.26 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.51 for Cobresal.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Universidad de Chile, 1 for Cobresal and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cobresal 1-0 Universidad de Chile (May 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Universidad de Chile or draw" stands at 93%, "Cobresal or draw" at 17% and "no draw" at 90%.

In short : Universidad de Chile are tipped by our AI model in this Universidad de Chile v Cobresal (83%). On recent form, Universidad de Chile have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Cobresal have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

83%
Universidad de Chile (Win)
10%
Draw
7%
Cobresal (Win)

Double chance

93%
Universidad de Chile or draw
17%
Cobresal or draw
90%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Universidad de Chile – Cobresal. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (8.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Universidad de Chile 3-0 Cobresal8.1%
Universidad de Chile 3-1 Cobresal8.0%
Universidad de Chile 4-0 Cobresal7.1%
Universidad de Chile 2-0 Cobresal7.0%
Universidad de Chile 4-1 Cobresal6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.46 goals in total (3.48 for Universidad de Chile, 0.98 for Cobresal): over 2.5 goals has a 82% probability and both teams to score 61%. Everything points to an open game. Universidad de Chile keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Cobresal in 3%.

Probability
Universidad de Chile expected goals3.48
Cobresal expected goals0.98
Both teams to score61%
Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Universidad de Chile clean sheet38%
Cobresal clean sheet3%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Universidad de Chile

DateOpponentScore
Nov 5, 2026Antofagasta · Copa Chile4-0W
Nov 1, 2026U. Catolica · Chilean Primera División0-1L
Oct 26, 2026Everton de Vina · Chilean Primera División4-1W
Oct 12, 2026Nublense · Chilean Primera División6-0W
Oct 7, 2026Antofagasta · Copa Chile0-2L

Cobresal

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Everton de Vina · Chilean Primera División2-2D
Oct 25, 2026O'Higgins · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Oct 10, 2026Universidad de Concepcion · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Sep 12, 2026Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División3-2W
Sep 8, 2026Deportes Limache · Chilean Primera División0-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Universidad de Chile24826
Cobresal142726

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Cobresal 1-0 Universidad de ChileChilean Primera División

Out and doubtful

Universidad de Chile

No absences reported.

Cobresal

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Universidad de Chile

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Zaldivia4/4
  • T. Reinhart4/4
  • A. Arce3/4
  • C. Aránguiz3/4
  • E. Vargas3/4
  • G. Castellón3/4
  • I. Lichnovsky3/4
  • I. Vásquez3/4
  • M. Guerrero3/4
  • M. Morales3/4
  • N. Ramírez3/4

Cobresal

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Castillo3/5
  • F. Villagrán3/5
  • G. Pacheco3/5
  • J. Brea3/5
  • J. Fuentes3/5
  • J. Tiznado3/5
  • Antonio Castillo2/5
  • C. Moreno2/5
  • C. Yanis2/5
  • Christian Moreno2/5
  • Felipe Villagrán2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Universidad de Chile a 83% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Cobresal 7%. Universidad de Chile are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?

3-0 (8.1%), followed by 3-1 (8.0%), 4-0 (7.1%), 2-0 (7.0%) and 4-1 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?

The probability that both Universidad de Chile and Cobresal score is 61%. Universidad de Chile have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cobresal 3%.

How many goals should we expect in Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?

The model expects 4.46 goals (3.48 for Universidad de Chile, 0.98 for Cobresal). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 82%, over 3.5 goals 65%.

When and where is Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal played?

Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 27. Venue: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago.

What form are Universidad de Chile and Cobresal in?

Universidad de Chile: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 4 conceded). Cobresal: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Universidad de Chile and Cobresal?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Universidad de Chile, 1 for Cobresal and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cobresal 1-0 Universidad de Chile (May 17, 2026).

What was the Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Universidad de Chile 2-1 Cobresal. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Universidad de Chile was the model's favourite outcome (83%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.9%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): correct.

How is the Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.48 for Universidad de Chile, 0.98 for Cobresal) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained