Uruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Uruguayan Primera División: Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo kicks off on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time). Venue: Parque Palermo, Montevideo. The edge goes to Liverpool Montevideo (53%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Central Espanol win (23%). The most likely correct score is 0-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.6%) and 0-2 (9.7%).
Central Espanol have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Liverpool Montevideo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Central Espanol score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Liverpool Montevideo score 1.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Central Espanol sit 14th with 5 points from 7 games, Liverpool Montevideo 2nd with 14 points from 7. 12 places separate the two sides.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Central Espanol, 0 for Liverpool Montevideo and 2 draws. The most recent ended Central Espanol 0-0 Liverpool Montevideo (Aug 2, 2026). In double chance terms, "Central Espanol or draw" stands at 47%, "Liverpool Montevideo or draw" at 77% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Liverpool Montevideo to edge Central Espanol (53% probability). On recent form, Central Espanol have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Liverpool Montevideo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Central Espanol – Liverpool Montevideo. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Central Espanol 0-1 Liverpool Montevideo | 11.6% |
| Central Espanol 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo | 11.6% |
| Central Espanol 0-2 Liverpool Montevideo | 9.7% |
| Central Espanol 1-2 Liverpool Montevideo | 9.7% |
| Central Espanol 0-0 Liverpool Montevideo | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.00 for Central Espanol, 1.67 for Liverpool Montevideo): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Central Espanol keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, Liverpool Montevideo in 37%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Central Espanol expected goals | 1.00 |
| Liverpool Montevideo expected goals | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Central Espanol clean sheet | 19% |
| Liverpool Montevideo clean sheet | 37% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Central Espanol
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Atletico Torque · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oriental · Copa Uruguay | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cerro Largo · Uruguayan Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Racing Montevideo · Copa Uruguay | 4-2 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Defensor Sporting · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-1 | D |
Liverpool Montevideo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Colón · Copa Uruguay | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Atletico Torque · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Boston River · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Boston River · Copa Uruguay | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | 14 | 5 | 7 |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 2 | 14 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Central Espanol 0-0 Liverpool Montevideo | Uruguayan Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo 3-3 Central Espanol | Uruguayan Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Central Espanol
No absences reported.
Liverpool Montevideo
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Central Espanol
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- Cesar Nunes3/3
- F. Pintado3/3
- F. Sosa3/3
- L. Pino3/3
- M. Gonzalez3/3
- M. Montiel3/3
- G. Gandolfo2/3
- I. Rodriguez2/3
- L. Fernandez2/3
- M. Alonso2/3
- A. Madruga1/3
Liverpool Montevideo
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Cayetano3/3
- E. Castillo3/3
- F. Martinez3/3
- K. Lewis3/3
- L. Acosta3/3
- M. Bernatene3/3
- N. Garayalde3/3
- R. Bentancourt3/3
- S. Strasorier3/3
- R. Haller2/3
- R. Machado2/3
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Progreso – Racing MontevideoSep 26, 2026
- Cerro Largo – Club NacionalSep 26, 2026
- Penarol – Boston RiverSep 26, 2026
- Atletico Torque – Deportivo MaldonadoSep 27, 2026
- Juventud – CerroSep 27, 2026
- Defensor Sporting – DanubioSep 27, 2026
- Wanderers – Albion FCSep 29, 2026
- Atletico Torque – PenarolOct 1, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction?
Our AI gives Central Espanol a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Liverpool Montevideo 53%. Liverpool Montevideo are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
0-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 0-2 (9.7%), 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
The probability that both Central Espanol and Liverpool Montevideo score is 51%. Central Espanol have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Liverpool Montevideo 37%.
How many goals should we expect in Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.00 for Central Espanol, 1.67 for Liverpool Montevideo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Parque Palermo, Montevideo.
What form are Central Espanol and Liverpool Montevideo in?
Central Espanol: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Liverpool Montevideo: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Central Espanol and Liverpool Montevideo?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Central Espanol, 0 for Liverpool Montevideo and 2 draws. The most recent ended Central Espanol 0-0 Liverpool Montevideo (Aug 2, 2026).
How is the Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.00 for Central Espanol, 1.67 for Liverpool Montevideo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Central Espanol predictions
- All Liverpool Montevideo predictions
- Uruguayan Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology