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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Sao PauloSao Paulo0 – 0CorinthiansCorinthians

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Sao Paulo 0-0 Corinthians. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sao Paulo (41%), while a draw was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (13.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (33%): correct.

Match analysis

Sao Paulo and Corinthians met on Thursday, November 5, 2026, a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 34 fixture. Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos. Before kick-off, our model gave Sao Paulo a 41% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Corinthians 28%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (15.0%), followed by 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-0 (13.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Corinthians have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Sao Paulo score 1.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Corinthians score 1.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, Sao Paulo sit 10th with 43 points from 33 games, Corinthians 18th with 36 points from 33. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Sao Paulo have averaged 1.27 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.40 for Corinthians.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Sao Paulo, 2 for Corinthians and 1 draw. The most recent ended Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo (May 10, 2026). Sao Paulo out or doubtful: Artur, N. Bosshardt, Buta, D. Duarte, Marcos Antonio, Sabino (suspended) and Ferreira (doubtful). Corinthians: Alex Santana (doubtful), M. Depay, Gabriel Paulista, Kayke, Z. Labyad, J. Lingard (suspended), Raniele and Matheuzinho (suspended). In double chance terms, "Sao Paulo or draw" stands at 72%, "Corinthians or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 70%.

In short : Sao Paulo are favourites for this Sao Paulo v Corinthians, with a 41% win probability from our model. On recent form, Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Corinthians have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. One to watch: Corinthians will be without Alex Santana and M. Depay.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

41%
Sao Paulo (Win)
30%
Draw
28%
Corinthians (Win)

Double chance

72%
Sao Paulo or draw
59%
Corinthians or draw
70%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Sao Paulo – Corinthians. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Sao Paulo 1-0 Corinthians15.0%
Sao Paulo 1-1 Corinthians13.3%
Sao Paulo 0-0 Corinthians13.1%
Sao Paulo 0-1 Corinthians11.7%
Sao Paulo 2-0 Corinthians8.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.14 expected goals for Sao Paulo and 0.89 for Corinthians, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 33% and "both teams to score" at 40%. Few goals are expected here. Sao Paulo keep a clean sheet in 41% of scenarios, Corinthians in 32%.

Probability
Sao Paulo expected goals1.14
Corinthians expected goals0.89
Both teams to score40%
Over 1.5 goals60%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Sao Paulo clean sheet41%
Corinthians clean sheet32%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Sao Paulo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Bahia · Brasileirão Série A2-3L
Oct 24, 2026Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A1-1D
Oct 18, 2026Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A1-0W
Oct 11, 2026Vitoria · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Oct 8, 2026Cruzeiro · Brasileirão Série A0-2L

Corinthians

DateOpponentScore
Oct 30, 2026Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A2-0W
Oct 24, 2026Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A2-3L
Oct 20, 2026Vitoria · Brasileirão Série A1-1D
Oct 11, 2026Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A1-4L
Oct 7, 2026Internacional · Brasileirão Série A1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sao Paulo104333
Corinthians183633

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Corinthians 3-2 Sao PauloSerie A
Jan 18, 2026Corinthians 1-1 Sao PauloPaulista - A1
Nov 20, 2025Corinthians 3-1 Sao PauloSerie A
Jul 20, 2025Sao Paulo 2-0 CorinthiansSerie A
Jan 26, 2025Sao Paulo 3-1 CorinthiansPaulista - A1

Out and doubtful

Sao Paulo

  • Artur (out)
  • N. Bosshardt (out)
  • Buta (out)
  • D. Duarte (out)
  • Marcos Antonio (out)
  • Sabino (suspended)
  • Ferreira (doubtful)

Corinthians

  • Alex Santana (doubtful)
  • M. Depay (out)
  • Gabriel Paulista (out)
  • Kayke (out)
  • Z. Labyad (out)
  • J. Lingard (suspended)
  • Raniele (out)
  • Matheuzinho (suspended)

Most regular starters

Sao Paulo

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Bobadilla5/5
  • Robert Arboleda5/5
  • Jonathan Calleri4/5
  • Newton4/5
  • Pedro Lima4/5
  • Rafael4/5
  • Artur3/5
  • Iago Borduchi3/5
  • Luciano3/5
  • Marcos Antonio3/5
  • Sabino3/5

Corinthians

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Breno Bidon5/5
  • Gustavo Henrique5/5
  • Hugo Souza5/5
  • Matheuzinho5/5
  • Yuri Alberto5/5
  • Andre4/5
  • Matheus Bidu4/5
  • R. Garro4/5
  • F. Angileri3/5
  • Gabriel Paulista3/5
  • Andre Ramalho2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Sao Paulo a 41% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Corinthians 28%. Sao Paulo are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?

1-0 (15.0%), followed by 1-1 (13.3%), 0-0 (13.1%), 0-1 (11.7%) and 2-0 (8.5%).

Will both teams score in Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?

The probability that both Sao Paulo and Corinthians score is 40%. Sao Paulo have a 41% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Corinthians 32%.

How many goals should we expect in Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?

The model expects 2.03 goals (1.14 for Sao Paulo, 0.89 for Corinthians). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 60%, over 2.5 goals 33%, over 3.5 goals 15%.

When and where is Sao Paulo vs Corinthians played?

Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 34. Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos.

What form are Sao Paulo and Corinthians in?

Sao Paulo: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded). Corinthians: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sao Paulo and Corinthians?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Sao Paulo, 2 for Corinthians and 1 draw. The most recent ended Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo (May 10, 2026).

What was the Sao Paulo vs Corinthians result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Sao Paulo 0-0 Corinthians. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sao Paulo (41%), while a draw was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (13.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (33%): correct.

How is the Sao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.14 for Sao Paulo, 0.89 for Corinthians) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained