Brasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 22:30 (UK time)
Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Mirassol. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Mirassol at 61%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.4%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (45%): missed.
Match analysis
Chapecoense-sc and Mirassol met on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 34 fixture. Venue: Arena Condá, Chapecó. Before kick-off, our model gave Chapecoense-sc a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mirassol 61%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (14.6%), followed by 0-2 (12.7%) and 1-1 (10.8%).
Chapecoense-sc have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 13. Mirassol have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Chapecoense-sc score 0.60 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Mirassol score 0.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Chapecoense-sc sit 20th with 21 points from 32 games, Mirassol 16th with 37 points from 33. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Chapecoense-sc have averaged 0.82 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.58 for Mirassol.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Chapecoense-sc, 4 for Mirassol and 1 draw. The most recent ended Mirassol 1-1 Chapecoense-sc (May 10, 2026). Chapecoense-sc out or doubtful: Heitor, Mauricio Garcez, Robert Conceicao, Vinicius Balieiro and Rafael Carvalheira (doubtful). Mirassol: Negueba, Bruno Santos (suspended) and Edson Carioca (suspended). In double chance terms, "Chapecoense-sc or draw" stands at 39%, "Mirassol or draw" at 84% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Our model backs Mirassol to edge Chapecoense-sc (61% probability). In the table, Chapecoense-sc (20th, 21 pts) host Mirassol (16th, 37 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 43%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Chapecoense-sc – Mirassol. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (14.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Chapecoense-sc 0-1 Mirassol | 14.6% |
| Chapecoense-sc 0-2 Mirassol | 12.7% |
| Chapecoense-sc 1-1 Mirassol | 10.8% |
| Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Mirassol | 9.4% |
| Chapecoense-sc 0-0 Mirassol | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.74 expected goals for Chapecoense-sc and 1.74 for Mirassol, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 45% and "both teams to score" at 43%. Chapecoense-sc keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, Mirassol in 48%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Chapecoense-sc expected goals | 0.74 |
| Mirassol expected goals | 1.74 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Chapecoense-sc clean sheet | 18% |
| Mirassol clean sheet | 48% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Chapecoense-sc
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Vitoria · Brasileirão Série A | 0-4 | L |
Mirassol
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Corinthians · Brasileirão Série A | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Internacional · Brasileirão Série A | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bahia · Brasileirão Série A | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 7, 2026 | RB Bragantino · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense-sc | 20 | 21 | 32 |
| Mirassol | 16 | 37 | 33 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mirassol 1-1 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Mirassol 1-0 Chapecoense-sc | Serie B |
| Aug 5, 2024 | Chapecoense-sc 0-1 Mirassol | Serie B |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Chapecoense-sc 0-1 Mirassol | Serie B |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Mirassol 1-0 Chapecoense-sc | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
Chapecoense-sc
- Heitor (out)
- Mauricio Garcez (out)
- Robert Conceicao (out)
- Vinicius Balieiro (out)
- Rafael Carvalheira (doubtful)
Mirassol
- Negueba (out)
- Bruno Santos (suspended)
- Edson Carioca (suspended)
Most regular starters
Chapecoense-sc
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Anderson5/5
- Bruno Pacheco5/5
- Giovanni Augusto5/5
- Bruno Tubarao4/5
- Kauan4/5
- Marcinho4/5
- Mauricio Garcez4/5
- Yago Felipe4/5
- Camilo Reijers3/5
- Eduardo Doma3/5
- Joao Paulo3/5
Mirassol
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Bruno Santos5/5
- Igor Formiga5/5
- Neto Moura5/5
- Reinaldo5/5
- Walter5/5
- Willian Machado5/5
- Denilson4/5
- Edson Carioca4/5
- Eduardo4/5
- Alesson3/5
- Joao Victor3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Coritiba 2-0 VitoriaOct 31, 2026
- RB Bragantino 2-1 SantosNov 2, 2026
- Internacional 1-0 CoritibaNov 4, 2026
- Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Vasco DA GamaNov 4, 2026
- Flamengo 3-1 GremioNov 4, 2026
- Sao Paulo 0-0 CorinthiansNov 5, 2026
- Botafogo 1-0 Atletico-MGNov 5, 2026
- Palmeiras 6-1 RemoNov 5, 2026
- Cruzeiro 3-2 BahiaNov 6, 2026
- Vitoria 0-3 FluminenseNov 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Chapecoense-sc a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mirassol 61%. Mirassol are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
0-1 (14.6%), followed by 0-2 (12.7%), 1-1 (10.8%), 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-0 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
The probability that both Chapecoense-sc and Mirassol score is 43%. Chapecoense-sc have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Mirassol 48%.
How many goals should we expect in Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
The model expects 2.48 goals (0.74 for Chapecoense-sc, 1.74 for Mirassol). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 71%, over 2.5 goals 45%, over 3.5 goals 24%.
When and where is Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 34. Venue: Arena Condá, Chapecó.
What form are Chapecoense-sc and Mirassol in?
Chapecoense-sc: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 13 conceded). Mirassol: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Chapecoense-sc and Mirassol?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Chapecoense-sc, 4 for Mirassol and 1 draw. The most recent ended Mirassol 1-1 Chapecoense-sc (May 10, 2026).
What was the Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Mirassol. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Mirassol at 61%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.4%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (45%): missed.
How is the Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.74 for Chapecoense-sc, 1.74 for Mirassol) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Chapecoense-sc predictions
- All Mirassol predictions
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology