Brasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Friday, November 6, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)
Vitoria vs Fluminense: 0-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Vitoria 0-3 Fluminense. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Fluminense at 38%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.
Match analysis
Vitoria and Fluminense met on Friday, November 6, 2026, a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 34 fixture. Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador. Before kick-off, our model gave Vitoria a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Fluminense 38%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.3%), followed by 0-1 (12.2%) and 1-0 (11.4%).
Vitoria have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Fluminense have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Vitoria score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Fluminense score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Vitoria sit 15th with 38 points from 33 games, Fluminense 4th with 54 points from 33. 11 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Vitoria have averaged 0.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.00 for Fluminense.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Vitoria, 1 for Fluminense and 2 draws. The most recent ended Fluminense 2-2 Vitoria (May 9, 2026). Vitoria out or doubtful: E. Britez (suspended), Camutanga, Dudu, Edu, Fabiano, Matheusinho, Nathan Mendes and Ramon. Fluminense: Alisson, Ignacio (suspended), John Kennedy, Martinelli, Matheus Reis and J. Millan. In double chance terms, "Vitoria or draw" stands at 62%, "Fluminense or draw" at 66% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Vitoria and Fluminense meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 29%). In the table, Vitoria (15th, 38 pts) host Fluminense (4th, 54 pts). One to watch: Vitoria will be without E. Britez and Camutanga.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Vitoria – Fluminense. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Vitoria 1-1 Fluminense | 13.3% |
| Vitoria 0-1 Fluminense | 12.2% |
| Vitoria 1-0 Fluminense | 11.4% |
| Vitoria 0-0 Fluminense | 10.4% |
| Vitoria 1-2 Fluminense | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.09 expected goals for Vitoria and 1.17 for Fluminense, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 39% and "both teams to score" at 46%. Few goals are expected here. Vitoria keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Fluminense in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Vitoria expected goals | 1.09 |
| Fluminense expected goals | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Vitoria clean sheet | 31% |
| Fluminense clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Vitoria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Corinthians · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A | 4-0 | W |
Fluminense
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Internacional · Brasileirão Série A | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Palmeiras · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santos · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Palmeiras · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 15 | 38 | 33 |
| Fluminense | 4 | 54 | 33 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Fluminense 2-2 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Vitoria 0-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Fluminense 1-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Vitoria 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Fluminense 0-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Vitoria
- E. Britez (suspended)
- Camutanga (out)
- Dudu (out)
- Edu (out)
- Fabiano (out)
- Matheusinho (out)
- Nathan Mendes (out)
- Ramon (out)
Fluminense
- Alisson (out)
- Ignacio (suspended)
- John Kennedy (out)
- Martinelli (out)
- Matheus Reis (out)
- J. Millan (out)
Most regular starters
Vitoria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Caique Goncalves5/5
- Emmanuel Martinez5/5
- Erick5/5
- Lucas Arcanjo5/5
- D. Tarzia4/5
- Jamerson4/5
- Luan Candido4/5
- Matheusinho4/5
- Matheuzinho4/5
- Rene4/5
- Caca3/5
Fluminense
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Nonato5/5
- A. Canobbio4/5
- Guga4/5
- Hulk4/5
- PH Ganso4/5
- Fabio3/5
- Guilherme Arana3/5
- Hercules3/5
- Ignacio3/5
- J. Savarino3/5
- Thiago Silva3/5
Other matches in this competition
- RB Bragantino 2-1 SantosNov 2, 2026
- Chapecoense-sc 1-2 MirassolNov 3, 2026
- Internacional 1-0 CoritibaNov 4, 2026
- Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Vasco DA GamaNov 4, 2026
- Flamengo 3-1 GremioNov 4, 2026
- Sao Paulo 0-0 CorinthiansNov 5, 2026
- Botafogo 1-0 Atletico-MGNov 5, 2026
- Palmeiras 6-1 RemoNov 5, 2026
- Cruzeiro 3-2 BahiaNov 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Vitoria a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Fluminense 38%. Fluminense are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Vitoria vs Fluminense?
1-1 (13.3%), followed by 0-1 (12.2%), 1-0 (11.4%), 0-0 (10.4%) and 1-2 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
The probability that both Vitoria and Fluminense score is 46%. Vitoria have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Fluminense 34%.
How many goals should we expect in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
The model expects 2.26 goals (1.09 for Vitoria, 1.17 for Fluminense). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Vitoria vs Fluminense played?
Friday, November 6, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 34. Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador.
What form are Vitoria and Fluminense in?
Vitoria: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Fluminense: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Vitoria and Fluminense?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Vitoria, 1 for Fluminense and 2 draws. The most recent ended Fluminense 2-2 Vitoria (May 9, 2026).
What was the Vitoria vs Fluminense result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Vitoria 0-3 Fluminense. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Fluminense at 38%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.
How is the Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.09 for Vitoria, 1.17 for Fluminense) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Vitoria predictions
- All Fluminense predictions
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology