Brasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)
Internacional vs Coritiba: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Internacional 1-0 Coritiba. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Internacional at 62%. The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
Internacional and Coritiba met on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 34 fixture. Venue: Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre. Before kick-off, our model gave Internacional a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coritiba 16%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (12.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.9%) and 1-1 (10.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Internacional have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Coritiba have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Internacional score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Coritiba score 0.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Internacional sit 18th with 35 points from 33 games, Coritiba 11th with 42 points from 33. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Internacional have averaged 1.33 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.37 for Coritiba.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Internacional, 1 for Coritiba and 2 draws. The most recent ended Coritiba 2-2 Internacional (May 9, 2026). Internacional out or doubtful: Anthoni, Kayky, S. Rochet, A. Sanabria, Alan Patrick (doubtful) and Thiago Maia (doubtful). Coritiba: Lucas Ronier and Lucas Taverna (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Internacional or draw" stands at 84%, "Coritiba or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Our model backs Internacional to edge Coritiba (62% probability). In the table, Internacional (18th, 35 pts) host Coritiba (11th, 42 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 47%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Internacional – Coritiba. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Internacional 1-0 Coritiba | 12.8% |
| Internacional 2-0 Coritiba | 11.9% |
| Internacional 1-1 Coritiba | 10.5% |
| Internacional 2-1 Coritiba | 9.7% |
| Internacional 3-0 Coritiba | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.86 expected goals for Internacional and 0.82 for Coritiba, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Internacional keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Coritiba in 16%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Internacional expected goals | 1.86 |
| Coritiba expected goals | 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Internacional clean sheet | 44% |
| Coritiba clean sheet | 16% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Internacional
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gremio · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Corinthians · Brasileirão Série A | 2-1 | W |
Coritiba
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Vitoria · Brasileirão Série A | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Gremio · Brasileirão Série A | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atletico-MG · Brasileirão Série A | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A | 0-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 18 | 35 | 33 |
| Coritiba | 11 | 42 | 33 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Coritiba 2-2 Internacional | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Internacional 3-4 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Jun 23, 2023 | Coritiba 0-1 Internacional | Serie A |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Coritiba 1-1 Internacional | Serie A |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Internacional 3-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Internacional
- Anthoni (out)
- Kayky (out)
- S. Rochet (out)
- A. Sanabria (out)
- Alan Patrick (doubtful)
- Thiago Maia (doubtful)
Coritiba
- Lucas Ronier (out)
- Lucas Taverna (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Internacional
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bernabei5/5
- Alerrandro5/5
- B. Aguirre5/5
- Bruno Gomes5/5
- Juninho5/5
- Thiago Maia5/5
- Alan Patrick4/5
- G. Mercado3/5
- Matheus Bahia3/5
- R. Villagra3/5
- Vitinho3/5
Coritiba
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Jacy5/5
- Josue5/5
- Pedro Rocha5/5
- S. Gomez5/5
- Bruno Melo4/5
- Pedro Morisco4/5
- Thiago Santos4/5
- Tiago Coser4/5
- F. Bustos3/5
- J. Lavega3/5
- N. Fonseca3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Coritiba 2-0 VitoriaOct 31, 2026
- RB Bragantino 2-1 SantosNov 2, 2026
- Chapecoense-sc 1-2 MirassolNov 3, 2026
- Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Vasco DA GamaNov 4, 2026
- Flamengo 3-1 GremioNov 4, 2026
- Sao Paulo 0-0 CorinthiansNov 5, 2026
- Botafogo 1-0 Atletico-MGNov 5, 2026
- Palmeiras 6-1 RemoNov 5, 2026
- Cruzeiro 3-2 BahiaNov 6, 2026
- Vitoria 0-3 FluminenseNov 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Internacional vs Coritiba prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Internacional a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coritiba 16%. Internacional are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Internacional vs Coritiba?
1-0 (12.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.9%), 1-1 (10.5%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 3-0 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Internacional vs Coritiba?
The probability that both Internacional and Coritiba score is 47%. Internacional have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Coritiba 16%.
How many goals should we expect in Internacional vs Coritiba?
The model expects 2.68 goals (1.86 for Internacional, 0.82 for Coritiba). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Internacional vs Coritiba played?
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 34. Venue: Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre.
What form are Internacional and Coritiba in?
Internacional: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Coritiba: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Internacional and Coritiba?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Internacional, 1 for Coritiba and 2 draws. The most recent ended Coritiba 2-2 Internacional (May 9, 2026).
What was the Internacional vs Coritiba result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Internacional 1-0 Coritiba. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Internacional at 62%. The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the Internacional vs Coritiba prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.86 for Internacional, 0.82 for Coritiba) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Internacional predictions
- All Coritiba predictions
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology