Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Avellino vs Sampdoria prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie B, matchday 6: the Avellino vs Sampdoria match is scheduled on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino. Avellino start as favourites with a 51% chance of victory; Sampdoria are given 21% and the draw 28%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (15.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.4%) and 0-0 (11.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Avellino have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Sampdoria have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 10. Avellino therefore arrive in far better shape than Sampdoria. On average Avellino score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Sampdoria score 0.60 and concede 2.00. In the table, Avellino sit 9th with 7 points from 5 games, Sampdoria 17th with 4 points from 5. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Avellino have averaged 0.87 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.25 for Sampdoria.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Avellino, 1 for Sampdoria and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sampdoria 2-1 Avellino (Mar 22, 2026). In double chance terms, "Avellino or draw" stands at 79%, "Sampdoria or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Avellino are tipped by our AI model in this Avellino v Sampdoria (51%). On recent form, Avellino have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Sampdoria are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Avellino – Sampdoria. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 60% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Avellino 1-0 Sampdoria | 15.8% |
| Avellino 1-1 Sampdoria | 12.4% |
| Avellino 0-0 Sampdoria | 11.4% |
| Avellino 2-0 Sampdoria | 10.9% |
| Avellino 0-1 Sampdoria | 9.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.38 expected goals for Avellino and 0.79 for Sampdoria, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 37% and "both teams to score" at 41%. Few goals are expected here. Avellino keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Sampdoria in 25%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Avellino expected goals | 1.38 |
| Sampdoria expected goals | 0.79 |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Avellino clean sheet | 45% |
| Sampdoria clean sheet | 25% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Avellino
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Modena · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus · Serie B | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arezzo · Serie B | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monza · Coppa Italia | 0-3 | L |
Sampdoria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mantova · Serie B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Palermo · Serie B | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juve Stabia · Serie B | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cesena · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cremonese · Coppa Italia | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| Sampdoria | 17 | 4 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Sampdoria 2-1 Avellino | Serie B |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Avellino 2-1 Sampdoria | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
Avellino
No absences reported.
Sampdoria
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Avellino
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Izzo5/5
- B. Moruzzi5/5
- M. Besaggio5/5
- M. Palumbo5/5
- R. Russo5/5
- T. Martinelli5/5
- L. Simic4/5
- T. Cancellotti4/5
- L. Palmiero3/5
- P. Enrici3/5
- A. Favilli2/5
Sampdoria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Di Pardo5/5
- L. Henderson5/5
- M. Cicconi5/5
- P. Vindahl5/5
- S. Gartenmann5/5
- D. Sinani4/5
- G. Tutino4/5
- A. Makoumbou3/5
- M. Viti3/5
- S. Esposito3/5
- A. Bellemo2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Modena – Hellas VeronaOct 10, 2026
- Padova – CarrareseOct 10, 2026
- Benevento – CesenaOct 10, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus – PisaOct 10, 2026
- Virtus Entella – Juve StabiaOct 10, 2026
- Empoli – PalermoOct 10, 2026
- Catanzaro – MantovaOct 10, 2026
- Sudtirol – AscoliOct 10, 2026
- Arezzo – CremoneseOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Avellino vs Sampdoria prediction?
Our AI gives Avellino a 51% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sampdoria 21%. Avellino are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Avellino vs Sampdoria?
1-0 (15.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.4%), 0-0 (11.4%), 2-0 (10.9%) and 0-1 (9.0%).
Will both teams score in Avellino vs Sampdoria?
The probability that both Avellino and Sampdoria score is 41%. Avellino have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sampdoria 25%.
How many goals should we expect in Avellino vs Sampdoria?
The model expects 2.17 goals (1.38 for Avellino, 0.79 for Sampdoria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 37%, over 3.5 goals 18%.
When and where is Avellino vs Sampdoria played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 6. Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino.
What form are Avellino and Sampdoria in?
Avellino: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Sampdoria: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Avellino and Sampdoria?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Avellino, 1 for Sampdoria and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sampdoria 2-1 Avellino (Mar 22, 2026).
How is the Avellino vs Sampdoria prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.38 for Avellino, 0.79 for Sampdoria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Avellino predictions
- All Sampdoria predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology