Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Catanzaro vs Mantova prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie B, matchday 6: the Catanzaro vs Mantova match is scheduled on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro. The edge goes to Mantova (51%), ahead of the draw (28%) and a Catanzaro win (21%). The most likely correct score is 0-1 (16.9%), ahead of 0-0 (12.6%) and 1-1 (12.3%).
Catanzaro have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Mantova have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Mantova. On average Catanzaro score 1.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Mantova score 2.00 and concede 1.80. In the table, Catanzaro sit 19th with 3 points from 5 games, Mantova 3rd with 11 points from 5. 16 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Catanzaro have averaged 1.15 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.85 for Mantova.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Catanzaro, 0 for Mantova and 0 draws. The most recent ended Catanzaro 2-0 Mantova (Feb 14, 2026). In double chance terms, "Catanzaro or draw" stands at 49%, "Mantova or draw" at 79% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Mantova are tipped by our AI model in this Catanzaro v Mantova (51%). In the table, Catanzaro (19th, 3 pts) host Mantova (3rd, 11 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Catanzaro – Mantova. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (16.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Catanzaro 0-1 Mantova | 16.9% |
| Catanzaro 0-0 Mantova | 12.6% |
| Catanzaro 1-1 Mantova | 12.3% |
| Catanzaro 0-2 Mantova | 11.3% |
| Catanzaro 1-0 Mantova | 9.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.07 goals in total (0.73 for Catanzaro, 1.34 for Mantova): over 2.5 goals has a 34% probability and both teams to score 38%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Catanzaro keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Mantova in 48%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Catanzaro expected goals | 0.73 |
| Mantova expected goals | 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% |
| Catanzaro clean sheet | 26% |
| Mantova clean sheet | 48% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Catanzaro
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carrarese · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sudtirol · Serie B | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pisa · Serie B | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus · Serie B | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sudtirol · Coppa Italia | 2-2 | D |
Mantova
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pisa · Serie B | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sampdoria · Serie B | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cesena · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Palermo · Coppa Italia | 2-5 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Empoli · Serie B | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro | 19 | 3 | 5 |
| Mantova | 3 | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Catanzaro 2-0 Mantova | Serie B |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Mantova 1-3 Catanzaro | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
Catanzaro
No absences reported.
Mantova
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Catanzaro
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Verrengia5/5
- G. Alesi5/5
- J. Petriccione5/5
- M. Pigliacelli5/5
- M. Ruggero5/5
- Matias Antonini5/5
- N. Mosti5/5
- P. Iemmello5/5
- A. Candela3/5
- M. D'Alessandro3/5
- N. Koffi3/5
Mantova
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Castellini5/5
- F. Bardi5/5
- F. Benaissa-Yahia5/5
- L. Ignacchiti5/5
- R. Ilie5/5
- S. Cella5/5
- E. Gliozzi4/5
- F. Ruocco4/5
- R. Kouda3/5
- B. Tomasevic2/5
- B. Tomašević2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Modena – Hellas VeronaOct 10, 2026
- Padova – CarrareseOct 10, 2026
- Benevento – CesenaOct 10, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus – PisaOct 10, 2026
- Virtus Entella – Juve StabiaOct 10, 2026
- Empoli – PalermoOct 10, 2026
- Sudtirol – AscoliOct 10, 2026
- Arezzo – CremoneseOct 10, 2026
- Avellino – SampdoriaOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Catanzaro vs Mantova prediction?
Our AI gives Catanzaro a 21% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mantova 51%. Mantova are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Catanzaro vs Mantova?
0-1 (16.9%), followed by 0-0 (12.6%), 1-1 (12.3%), 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-0 (9.2%).
Will both teams score in Catanzaro vs Mantova?
The probability that both Catanzaro and Mantova score is 38%. Catanzaro have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Mantova 48%.
How many goals should we expect in Catanzaro vs Mantova?
The model expects 2.07 goals (0.73 for Catanzaro, 1.34 for Mantova). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 61%, over 2.5 goals 34%, over 3.5 goals 16%.
When and where is Catanzaro vs Mantova played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 6. Venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro.
What form are Catanzaro and Mantova in?
Catanzaro: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded). Mantova: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Catanzaro and Mantova?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Catanzaro, 0 for Mantova and 0 draws. The most recent ended Catanzaro 2-0 Mantova (Feb 14, 2026).
How is the Catanzaro vs Mantova prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.73 for Catanzaro, 1.34 for Mantova) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Catanzaro predictions
- All Mantova predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology