Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Modena vs Hellas Verona prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Modena take on Hellas Verona on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), a Serie B, matchday 6 fixture. Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena. The edge goes to Modena (55%), ahead of the draw (22%) and a Hellas Verona win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (9.9%), ahead of 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Modena have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Modena score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Hellas Verona score 2.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Modena sit 4th with 10 points from 5 games, Hellas Verona 8th with 7 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Modena have averaged 1.47 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.62 for Hellas Verona.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Modena, 1 for Hellas Verona and 0 draws. The most recent ended Hellas Verona 3-2 Modena (Jul 29, 2021). In double chance terms, "Modena or draw" stands at 77%, "Hellas Verona or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Modena are tipped by our AI model in this Modena v Hellas Verona (55%). On recent form, Modena have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Modena – Hellas Verona. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Modena 1-1 Hellas Verona | 9.9% |
| Modena 2-1 Hellas Verona | 9.8% |
| Modena 1-0 Hellas Verona | 8.2% |
| Modena 2-0 Hellas Verona | 8.1% |
| Modena 3-1 Hellas Verona | 6.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.18 goals in total (1.97 for Modena, 1.21 for Hellas Verona): over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability and both teams to score 60%. Everything points to an open game. Modena keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Hellas Verona in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Modena expected goals | 1.97 |
| Hellas Verona expected goals | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Modena clean sheet | 30% |
| Hellas Verona clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Modena
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Empoli · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sudtirol · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Avellino · Serie B | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cremonese · Serie B | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Benevento · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
Hellas Verona
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benevento · Serie B | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arezzo · Serie B | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Cagliari · Coppa Italia | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Padova · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modena | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| Hellas Verona | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2021 | Hellas Verona 3-2 Modena | Club Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Modena
No absences reported.
Hellas Verona
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Modena
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bianco5/5
- B. Nieling5/5
- D. Tonoli5/5
- F. Zampano5/5
- G. Ambrosino5/5
- G. Brugman5/5
- G. Caso5/5
- L. Chichizola5/5
- S. Nador5/5
- G. Olzer4/5
- S. Santoro3/5
Hellas Verona
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Sarr5/5
- A. Edmundsson4/5
- A. Le Borgne4/5
- G. Zappa4/5
- N. Leali4/5
- S. Mulattieri4/5
- A. Bernede3/5
- A. Harroui3/5
- D. Bradaric2/5
- D. De Battisti2/5
- D. Livramento2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Padova – CarrareseOct 10, 2026
- Benevento – CesenaOct 10, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus – PisaOct 10, 2026
- Virtus Entella – Juve StabiaOct 10, 2026
- Empoli – PalermoOct 10, 2026
- Catanzaro – MantovaOct 10, 2026
- Sudtirol – AscoliOct 10, 2026
- Arezzo – CremoneseOct 10, 2026
- Avellino – SampdoriaOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Modena vs Hellas Verona prediction?
Our AI gives Modena a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hellas Verona 23%. Modena are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Modena vs Hellas Verona?
1-1 (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.8%), 1-0 (8.2%), 2-0 (8.1%) and 3-1 (6.4%).
Will both teams score in Modena vs Hellas Verona?
The probability that both Modena and Hellas Verona score is 60%. Modena have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Hellas Verona 14%.
How many goals should we expect in Modena vs Hellas Verona?
The model expects 3.18 goals (1.97 for Modena, 1.21 for Hellas Verona). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 39%.
When and where is Modena vs Hellas Verona played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 6. Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena.
What form are Modena and Hellas Verona in?
Modena: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). Hellas Verona: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Hellas Verona?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Modena, 1 for Hellas Verona and 0 draws. The most recent ended Hellas Verona 3-2 Modena (Jul 29, 2021).
How is the Modena vs Hellas Verona prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.97 for Modena, 1.21 for Hellas Verona) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Modena predictions
- All Hellas Verona predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology