Taça de Portugal· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Recreativa de Lamelas vs Guimaraes prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Taça de Portugal: Recreativa de Lamelas vs Guimaraes kicks off on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). The edge goes to Guimaraes (48%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Recreativa de Lamelas win (28%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.1%), ahead of 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (8.8%).
Recreativa de Lamelas have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Guimaraes have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Recreativa de Lamelas score 0.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Guimaraes score 0.60 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Recreativa de Lamelas and Guimaraes: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Recreativa de Lamelas or draw" stands at 52%, "Guimaraes or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Guimaraes are tipped by our AI model in this Recreativa de Lamelas v Guimaraes (48%). On recent form, Recreativa de Lamelas have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Guimaraes have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Recreativa de Lamelas – Guimaraes. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Recreativa de Lamelas 1-1 Guimaraes | 11.1% |
| Recreativa de Lamelas 1-2 Guimaraes | 9.5% |
| Recreativa de Lamelas 0-1 Guimaraes | 8.8% |
| Recreativa de Lamelas 0-2 Guimaraes | 7.5% |
| Recreativa de Lamelas 2-1 Guimaraes | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.97 goals in total (1.26 for Recreativa de Lamelas, 1.71 for Guimaraes): over 2.5 goals has a 57% probability and both teams to score 59%. Recreativa de Lamelas keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, Guimaraes in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Recreativa de Lamelas expected goals | 1.26 |
| Guimaraes expected goals | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Recreativa de Lamelas clean sheet | 18% |
| Guimaraes clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Recreativa de Lamelas
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Beira-Mar · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Valadares Gaia · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 1-2 | L |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Amarante · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 0-2 | L |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Florgrade · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 0-2 | L |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Rebordosa · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 2-1 | W |
Guimaraes
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Moreirense · Primeira Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Academico Viseu · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Casa Pia · Primeira Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | SC Braga · Primeira Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nacional · Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Recreativa de Lamelas and Guimaraes: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Recreativa de Lamelas
No absences reported.
Guimaraes
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Recreativa de Lamelas
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Licá5/5
- Márcio Santos5/5
- Ruizinho5/5
- Hugo Morais4/5
- Márcio Anastácio4/5
- Paulo André4/5
- S. Akoh4/5
- Daniel Dias3/5
- Diogo Braz3/5
- Luís Pedro3/5
- Nélson Cardoso3/5
Guimaraes
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Gustavo5/5
- L. Doucet5/5
- O. Zych5/5
- T. Strata5/5
- Thiago Balieiro5/5
- J. Mendes4/5
- Samu4/5
- A. Ndoye3/5
- M. Nogueira3/5
- A. Jakupovic2/5
- A. Sidibe2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Recreativa de Lamelas vs Guimaraes prediction?
Our AI gives Recreativa de Lamelas a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guimaraes 48%. Guimaraes are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Recreativa de Lamelas vs Guimaraes?
1-1 (11.1%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (8.8%), 0-2 (7.5%) and 2-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Recreativa de Lamelas vs Guimaraes?
The probability that both Recreativa de Lamelas and Guimaraes score is 59%. Recreativa de Lamelas have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Guimaraes 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Recreativa de Lamelas vs Guimaraes?
The model expects 2.97 goals (1.26 for Recreativa de Lamelas, 1.71 for Guimaraes). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 35%.
When and where is Recreativa de Lamelas vs Guimaraes played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Taça de Portugal.
What form are Recreativa de Lamelas and Guimaraes in?
Recreativa de Lamelas: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded). Guimaraes: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the Recreativa de Lamelas vs Guimaraes prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.26 for Recreativa de Lamelas, 1.71 for Guimaraes) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Recreativa de Lamelas predictions
- All Guimaraes predictions
- Taça de Portugal predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology