Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Brasileirão Série B, matchday 31: Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro kicks off on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Our model makes Atletico Goianiense clear favourites: a 76% chance of winning, against 15% for the draw and 9% for America Mineiro. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (13.0%), followed by 1-0 (10.7%) and 3-0 (10.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Goianiense have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, America Mineiro have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Atletico Goianiense therefore arrive in far better shape than America Mineiro. On average Atletico Goianiense score 1.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; America Mineiro score 1.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Atletico Goianiense sit 7th with 46 points from 29 games, America Mineiro 19th with 17 points from 29. 12 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Goianiense, 0 for America Mineiro and 0 draws. The most recent ended America Mineiro 1-2 Atletico Goianiense (Jun 9, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atletico Goianiense or draw" stands at 91%, "America Mineiro or draw" at 24% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : Atletico Goianiense are tipped by our AI model in this Atletico Goianiense v America Mineiro (76%). On recent form, Atletico Goianiense have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while America Mineiro have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Atletico Goianiense – America Mineiro. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense 2-0 America Mineiro | 13.0% |
| Atletico Goianiense 1-0 America Mineiro | 10.7% |
| Atletico Goianiense 3-0 America Mineiro | 10.6% |
| Atletico Goianiense 2-1 America Mineiro | 9.0% |
| Atletico Goianiense 1-1 America Mineiro | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.43 expected goals for Atletico Goianiense and 0.69 for America Mineiro, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 60% and "both teams to score" at 46%. Goals look likely in this one. Atletico Goianiense keep a clean sheet in 50% of scenarios, America Mineiro in 9%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense expected goals | 2.43 |
| America Mineiro expected goals | 0.69 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Atletico Goianiense clean sheet | 50% |
| America Mineiro clean sheet | 9% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Atletico Goianiense
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Ceara · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Juventude · Brasileirão Série B | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Avai · Brasileirão Série B | 1-0 | W |
America Mineiro
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CRB · Brasileirão Série B | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense | 7 | 46 | 29 |
| America Mineiro | 19 | 17 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | America Mineiro 1-2 Atletico Goianiense | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
Atletico Goianiense
No absences reported.
America Mineiro
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Atletico Goianiense
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Adriano Martins5/5
- Peixoto5/5
- Warley5/5
- Gustavo Coutinho4/5
- Guilherme Lopes3/5
- Gustavo Maia3/5
- J. Barreto3/5
- Leandro Vilela3/5
- Paulo Vítor3/5
- Soares Geovany3/5
- Geovany Soares2/5
America Mineiro
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Guilherme Parede5/5
- Otavio Goncalves5/5
- Paulo Victor5/5
- T. Ostchega5/5
- Ricardo Silva4/5
- Bruno Brígido3/5
- Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio3/5
- Fábio Almeida3/5
- Rafael Barcelos3/5
- Willian3/5
- Alex Silva2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Athletic Club – Sport RecifeOct 2, 2026
- Novorizontino – GoiasOct 2, 2026
- São Bernardo – CRBOct 2, 2026
- Londrina – CriciumaOct 3, 2026
- Juventude – Operario-PROct 3, 2026
- Fortaleza EC – Nautico RecifeOct 3, 2026
- Avai – CearaOct 3, 2026
- Cuiaba – Ponte PretaOct 3, 2026
- Botafogo SP – Vila NovaOct 3, 2026
- Sport Recife – São BernardoOct 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro prediction?
Our AI gives Atletico Goianiense a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and America Mineiro 9%. Atletico Goianiense are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro?
2-0 (13.0%), followed by 1-0 (10.7%), 3-0 (10.6%), 2-1 (9.0%) and 1-1 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro?
The probability that both Atletico Goianiense and America Mineiro score is 46%. Atletico Goianiense have a 50% chance of keeping a clean sheet, America Mineiro 9%.
How many goals should we expect in Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro?
The model expects 3.12 goals (2.43 for Atletico Goianiense, 0.69 for America Mineiro). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, over 3.5 goals 38%.
When and where is Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro played?
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 31.
What form are Atletico Goianiense and America Mineiro in?
Atletico Goianiense: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded). America Mineiro: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Goianiense and America Mineiro?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Goianiense, 0 for America Mineiro and 0 draws. The most recent ended America Mineiro 1-2 Atletico Goianiense (Jun 9, 2026).
How is the Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.43 for Atletico Goianiense, 0.69 for America Mineiro) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Atletico Goianiense predictions
- All America Mineiro predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology