Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Friday, October 2, 2026, 01:00 (UK time)
Novorizontino vs Goias prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Novorizontino take on Goias on Friday, October 2, 2026 at 01:00 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série B, matchday 31 fixture. Venue: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte. Novorizontino start as favourites with a 58% chance of victory; Goias are given 19% and the draw 23%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%) and 2-0 (10.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Novorizontino have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Goias have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Novorizontino score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Goias score 1.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Novorizontino sit 3rd with 50 points from 29 games, Goias 11th with 42 points from 29. 8 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Novorizontino, 0 for Goias and 0 draws. The most recent ended Goias 0-4 Novorizontino (Jun 11, 2026). In double chance terms, "Novorizontino or draw" stands at 81%, "Goias or draw" at 42% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Novorizontino are tipped by our AI model in this Novorizontino v Goias (58%). On recent form, Novorizontino have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Goias have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Novorizontino – Goias. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Novorizontino 1-0 Goias | 11.8% |
| Novorizontino 1-1 Goias | 11.0% |
| Novorizontino 2-0 Goias | 10.6% |
| Novorizontino 2-1 Goias | 9.8% |
| Novorizontino 0-0 Goias | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.79 expected goals for Novorizontino and 0.93 for Goias, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Novorizontino keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Goias in 17%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Novorizontino expected goals | 1.79 |
| Goias expected goals | 0.93 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Novorizontino clean sheet | 40% |
| Goias clean sheet | 17% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Novorizontino
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ceara · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Avai · Brasileirão Série B | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
Goias
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Avai · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | 3 | 50 | 29 |
| Goias | 11 | 42 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Goias 0-4 Novorizontino | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
Novorizontino
No absences reported.
Goias
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Novorizontino
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Gabriel Bahia5/5
- Jordi5/5
- Luis Oyama5/5
- Madson5/5
- Patrick5/5
- Reidiney5/5
- Robson5/5
- Romulo5/5
- Nicolas Careca4/5
- Leo Naldi2/5
- Léo Naldi2/5
Goias
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Djalma Silva5/5
- Kadu5/5
- Lucas Ribeiro5/5
- Luquinhas5/5
- Tadeu5/5
- Filipe Machado4/5
- Luiz Felipe4/5
- Felipe Clemente3/5
- Lourenço3/5
- Luis Fellipe3/5
- Jean Carlos2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Botafogo SP – Ponte PretaSep 29, 2026
- Athletic Club – Sport RecifeOct 2, 2026
- São Bernardo – CRBOct 2, 2026
- Londrina – CriciumaOct 3, 2026
- Juventude – Operario-PROct 3, 2026
- Fortaleza EC – Nautico RecifeOct 3, 2026
- Avai – CearaOct 3, 2026
- Atletico Goianiense – America MineiroOct 3, 2026
- Cuiaba – Ponte PretaOct 3, 2026
- Botafogo SP – Vila NovaOct 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Novorizontino vs Goias prediction?
Our AI gives Novorizontino a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Goias 19%. Novorizontino are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Novorizontino vs Goias?
1-0 (11.8%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%), 2-0 (10.6%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Novorizontino vs Goias?
The probability that both Novorizontino and Goias score is 50%. Novorizontino have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Goias 17%.
How many goals should we expect in Novorizontino vs Goias?
The model expects 2.72 goals (1.79 for Novorizontino, 0.93 for Goias). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Novorizontino vs Goias played?
Friday, October 2, 2026 at 01:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 31. Venue: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte.
What form are Novorizontino and Goias in?
Novorizontino: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). Goias: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Novorizontino and Goias?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Novorizontino, 0 for Goias and 0 draws. The most recent ended Goias 0-4 Novorizontino (Jun 11, 2026).
How is the Novorizontino vs Goias prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.79 for Novorizontino, 0.93 for Goias) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Novorizontino predictions
- All Goias predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology