Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Avai vs Ceara prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Brasileirão Série B, matchday 31: the Avai vs Ceara match is scheduled on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time). Venue: Ressacada. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Avai 42%, Ceara 32% and the draw 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), ahead of 1-0 (10.6%) and 0-1 (8.9%).
Avai have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Ceara have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Ceara. On average Avai score 0.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Ceara score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Avai sit 17th with 30 points from 29 games, Ceara 15th with 35 points from 29. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Avai, 1 for Ceara and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ceara 2-1 Avai (Jun 11, 2026). In double chance terms, "Avai or draw" stands at 68%, "Ceara or draw" at 58% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Avai are tipped by our AI model in this Avai v Ceara (42%). On recent form, Avai are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Ceara have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Avai – Ceara. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Avai 1-1 Ceara | 12.5% |
| Avai 1-0 Ceara | 10.6% |
| Avai 0-1 Ceara | 8.9% |
| Avai 2-1 Ceara | 8.8% |
| Avai 0-0 Ceara | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.59 goals in total (1.41 for Avai, 1.18 for Ceara): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Avai keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Ceara in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Avai expected goals | 1.41 |
| Ceara expected goals | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Avai clean sheet | 31% |
| Ceara clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Avai
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Goias · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
Ceara
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | 17 | 30 | 29 |
| Ceara | 15 | 35 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Ceara 2-1 Avai | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
Avai
No absences reported.
Ceara
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Avai
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Allyson5/5
- Jean Lucas5/5
- Paulo Vitor5/5
- Reynaldo5/5
- Bruno Ferreira4/5
- Zé Ricardo3/5
- Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira2/5
- Daniel Penha2/5
- DG2/5
- Douglas Teixeira2/5
- F. Vizeu2/5
Ceara
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Richard8/5
- Joao Gabriel5/5
- Luiz Otávio5/5
- Júlio3/5
- Sanchez3/5
- Vinicius Zanocelo3/5
- Bryan2/5
- Enzo2/5
- Gabriel Rocha2/5
- Julio Cesar2/5
- Luiz Otavio2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Botafogo SP – Ponte PretaSep 29, 2026
- Novorizontino – GoiasOct 2, 2026
- São Bernardo – CRBOct 2, 2026
- Londrina – CriciumaOct 3, 2026
- Juventude – Operario-PROct 3, 2026
- Fortaleza EC – Nautico RecifeOct 3, 2026
- Cuiaba – Ponte PretaOct 3, 2026
- Botafogo SP – Vila NovaOct 3, 2026
- Sport Recife – São BernardoOct 6, 2026
- Ponte Preta – JuventudeOct 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Avai vs Ceara prediction?
Our AI gives Avai a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ceara 32%. Avai are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Avai vs Ceara?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.6%), 0-1 (8.9%), 2-1 (8.8%) and 0-0 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Avai vs Ceara?
The probability that both Avai and Ceara score is 52%. Avai have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ceara 24%.
How many goals should we expect in Avai vs Ceara?
The model expects 2.59 goals (1.41 for Avai, 1.18 for Ceara). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Avai vs Ceara played?
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 31. Venue: Ressacada.
What form are Avai and Ceara in?
Avai: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 8 conceded). Ceara: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Avai and Ceara?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Avai, 1 for Ceara and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ceara 2-1 Avai (Jun 11, 2026).
How is the Avai vs Ceara prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.41 for Avai, 1.18 for Ceara) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Avai predictions
- All Ceara predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology