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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Friday, October 2, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

São Bernardo vs CRB prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

São Bernardo take on CRB on Friday, October 2, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série B, matchday 31 fixture. Venue: Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo. The edge goes to São Bernardo (48%), ahead of the draw (26%) and a CRB win (26%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, São Bernardo have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, CRB have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average São Bernardo score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; CRB score 1.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, São Bernardo sit 12th with 41 points from 29 games, CRB 8th with 45 points from 29. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for São Bernardo, 0 for CRB and 0 draws. The most recent ended CRB 2-3 São Bernardo (Jun 7, 2026). In double chance terms, "São Bernardo or draw" stands at 74%, "CRB or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : São Bernardo are tipped by our AI model in this São Bernardo v CRB (48%). In the table, São Bernardo (12th, 41 pts) host CRB (8th, 45 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
São Bernardo (Win)
26%
Draw
26%
CRB (Win)

Double chance

74%
São Bernardo or draw
52%
CRB or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as São Bernardo – CRB. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
São Bernardo 1-1 CRB12.1%
São Bernardo 1-0 CRB11.2%
São Bernardo 2-1 CRB9.4%
São Bernardo 2-0 CRB8.7%
São Bernardo 0-1 CRB7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.55 for São Bernardo, 1.08 for CRB): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. São Bernardo keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, CRB in 21%.

Probability
São Bernardo expected goals1.55
CRB expected goals1.08
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
São Bernardo clean sheet34%
CRB clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

São Bernardo

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Sep 14, 2026America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Sep 10, 2026Londrina · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 6, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Aug 28, 2026Goias · Brasileirão Série B1-2L

CRB

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 16, 2026Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Sep 10, 2026Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B0-3L
Sep 5, 2026America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B3-1W
Aug 30, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
São Bernardo124129
CRB84529

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026CRB 2-3 São BernardoBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

São Bernardo

No absences reported.

CRB

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

São Bernardo

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • Alex Alves4/4
  • Felipe Garcia4/4
  • Jemerson4/4
  • Pedrinho4/4
  • Rodrigo Ferreira4/4
  • Romisson4/4
  • Augusto3/4
  • Foguinho3/4
  • Dudu Miraima2/4
  • Eduardo2/4
  • Mário Sérgio2/4

CRB

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Lyncon5/5
  • Mikael5/5
  • Pedro Castro5/5
  • Vitor Caetano5/5
  • Bressan4/5
  • Kevin4/5
  • Reverson4/5
  • Crystopher3/5
  • Dadá Belmonte3/5
  • Daniel3/5
  • Thiaguinho3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the São Bernardo vs CRB prediction?

Our AI gives São Bernardo a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CRB 26%. São Bernardo are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for São Bernardo vs CRB?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 0-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in São Bernardo vs CRB?

The probability that both São Bernardo and CRB score is 52%. São Bernardo have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, CRB 21%.

How many goals should we expect in São Bernardo vs CRB?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.55 for São Bernardo, 1.08 for CRB). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is São Bernardo vs CRB played?

Friday, October 2, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 31. Venue: Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo.

What form are São Bernardo and CRB in?

São Bernardo: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). CRB: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between São Bernardo and CRB?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for São Bernardo, 0 for CRB and 0 draws. The most recent ended CRB 2-3 São Bernardo (Jun 7, 2026).

How is the São Bernardo vs CRB prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.55 for São Bernardo, 1.08 for CRB) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained