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BundesligaBundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)

1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim: 3-2 result and AI prediction review

1. FC Köln1. FC Köln3 – 21899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: 1. FC Köln 3-2 1899 Hoffenheim. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for 1. FC Köln at 51%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

1. FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim met on Saturday, August 29, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne. Before kick-off, our model gave 1. FC Köln a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and 1899 Hoffenheim 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, 1. FC Köln have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, 1899 Hoffenheim have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average 1. FC Köln score 3.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; 1899 Hoffenheim score 2.40 and concede 1.20.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for 1. FC Köln, 0 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 1 draw. The most recent ended 1. FC Köln 2-2 1899 Hoffenheim (Feb 21, 2026). 1. FC Köln out or doubtful: T. Hubers, J. Pauli, S. Sebulonsen and L. Maina. 1899 Hoffenheim: T. Lemperle and A. Prass. In double chance terms, "1. FC Köln or draw" stands at 76%, "1899 Hoffenheim or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
1. FC Köln (Win)
25%
Draw
24%
1899 Hoffenheim (Win)

Double chance

76%
1. FC Köln or draw
49%
1899 Hoffenheim or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as 1. FC Köln – 1899 Hoffenheim. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
1. FC Köln 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim11.8%
1. FC Köln 1-0 1899 Hoffenheim11.4%
1. FC Köln 2-1 1899 Hoffenheim9.5%
1. FC Köln 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim9.3%
1. FC Köln 0-1 1899 Hoffenheim7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.62 expected goals for 1. FC Köln and 1.03 for 1899 Hoffenheim, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. 1. FC Köln keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, 1899 Hoffenheim in 20%.

Probability
1. FC Köln expected goals1.62
1899 Hoffenheim expected goals1.03
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
1. FC Köln clean sheet36%
1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

1. FC Köln

DateOpponentScore
Aug 24, 2026Würzburger Kickers · DFB-Pokal2-1W
Aug 8, 2026Real Sociedad · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 31, 2026Hertha BSC · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 23, 2026Bergisch Gladbach · Club Friendlies8-0W
May 16, 2026Bayern München · Bundesliga1-5L

1899 Hoffenheim

DateOpponentScore
Aug 22, 2026Erzgebirge Aue · DFB-Pokal4-0W
Aug 16, 2026Tottenham · Club Friendlies2-2D
Aug 15, 2026Tottenham · Club Friendlies0-3L
Aug 1, 2026Karlsruher SC · Club Friendlies3-0W
Jul 29, 2026Holstein Kiel · Club Friendlies3-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
1. FC Köln1400
1899 Hoffenheim500

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 20261. FC Köln 2-2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Oct 3, 20251899 Hoffenheim 0-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga

Out and doubtful

1. FC Köln

  • T. Hubers (out)
  • J. Pauli (out)
  • S. Sebulonsen (out)
  • L. Maina (out)

1899 Hoffenheim

  • T. Lemperle (out)
  • A. Prass (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave 1. FC Köln a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and 1899 Hoffenheim 24%. 1. FC Köln are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-2.

What is the most likely correct score for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

The probability that both 1. FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim score is 52%. 1. FC Köln have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, 1899 Hoffenheim 20%.

How many goals should we expect in 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for 1. FC Köln, 1.03 for 1899 Hoffenheim). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?

Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 1. Venue: RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne.

What form are 1. FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim in?

1. FC Köln: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 9 conceded). 1899 Hoffenheim: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for 1. FC Köln, 0 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 1 draw. The most recent ended 1. FC Köln 2-2 1899 Hoffenheim (Feb 21, 2026).

What was the 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: 1. FC Köln 3-2 1899 Hoffenheim. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for 1. FC Köln at 51%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for 1. FC Köln, 1.03 for 1899 Hoffenheim) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained