Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt: 3-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Union Berlin (48%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt was played on Saturday, August 29, 2026 (Bundesliga, matchday 1). Before kick-off, our model gave Union Berlin a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Eintracht Frankfurt 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Union Berlin have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Over their last 5 matches, Eintracht Frankfurt have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Eintracht Frankfurt. On average Union Berlin score 2.40 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.80 and concede 1.60.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Union Berlin, 0 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1 draw. The most recent ended Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt (Feb 6, 2026). Union Berlin out or doubtful: A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, F. Ronnow, M. Friedrich and A. Ilic. Eintracht Frankfurt: N. Collins, A. Knauff, J. Ngankam, J. Burkardt and R. Doan. In double chance terms, "Union Berlin or draw" stands at 73%, "Eintracht Frankfurt or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Union Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 12.1% |
| Union Berlin 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 11.2% |
| Union Berlin 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 9.4% |
| Union Berlin 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 8.7% |
| Union Berlin 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.55 for Union Berlin, 1.08 for Eintracht Frankfurt): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Union Berlin keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Eintracht Frankfurt in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Union Berlin expected goals | 1.55 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Union Berlin clean sheet | 34% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Union Berlin
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig · DFB-Pokal | 4-2 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ipswich · Club Friendlies | 2-4 | L |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aris · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cagliari · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SC St. Tönis · DFB-Pokal | 11-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentford · Club Friendlies | 0-7 | L |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt · Club Friendlies | 5-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hull City · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
Union Berlin
- A. Markgraf (out)
- S. Nsoki (out)
- F. Ronnow (out)
- M. Friedrich (out)
- A. Ilic (out)
Eintracht Frankfurt
- N. Collins (out)
- A. Knauff (out)
- J. Ngankam (out)
- J. Burkardt (out)
- R. Doan (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Bayern München 5-1 VfB StuttgartAug 28, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 3-2 1899 HoffenheimAug 29, 2026
- SV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenAug 29, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Aug 29, 2026
- RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachAug 29, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SVAug 29, 2026
- SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenAug 30, 2026
- FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04Aug 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Union Berlin a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Eintracht Frankfurt 27%. Union Berlin are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 0-1 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The probability that both Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt score is 52%. Union Berlin have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Eintracht Frankfurt 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The model expects 2.63 goals (1.55 for Union Berlin, 1.08 for Eintracht Frankfurt). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 1.
What form are Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt in?
Union Berlin: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 12 conceded). Eintracht Frankfurt: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (19 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Union Berlin, 0 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1 draw. The most recent ended Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt (Feb 6, 2026).
What was the Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Union Berlin (48%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.55 for Union Berlin, 1.08 for Eintracht Frankfurt) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Union Berlin predictions
- All Eintracht Frankfurt predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Union Berlin cards
- Eintracht Frankfurt cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology