Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: 3-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: SV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for SV Elversberg at 52%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen met on Saturday, August 29, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg. Before kick-off, our model gave SV Elversberg a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bayer Leverkusen 23%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
SV Elversberg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 14 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Bayer Leverkusen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average SV Elversberg score 2.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.40 and concede 0.80.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for SV Elversberg, 1 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0 draws. SV Elversberg out or doubtful: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied and F. Schmahl. Bayer Leverkusen: M. Culbreath, K. Eichhorn and M. Terrier. In double chance terms, "SV Elversberg or draw" stands at 77%, "Bayer Leverkusen or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SV Elversberg – Bayer Leverkusen. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SV Elversberg 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen | 11.7% |
| SV Elversberg 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen | 11.5% |
| SV Elversberg 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen | 9.6% |
| SV Elversberg 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen | 9.4% |
| SV Elversberg 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.64 expected goals for SV Elversberg and 1.02 for Bayer Leverkusen, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 52%. SV Elversberg keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Bayer Leverkusen in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SV Elversberg expected goals | 1.64 |
| Bayer Leverkusen expected goals | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| SV Elversberg clean sheet | 36% |
| Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
SV Elversberg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | MSV Duisburg · DFB-Pokal | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lorient · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mallorca · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Strasbourg · Club Friendlies | 5-2 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Wehen · DFB-Pokal | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newcastle · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Nottingham Forest · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sevilla · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for SV Elversberg, 1 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0 draws.
Out and doubtful
SV Elversberg
- L. Seifert (out)
- T. Zimmerschied (out)
- F. Schmahl (out)
Bayer Leverkusen
- M. Culbreath (out)
- K. Eichhorn (out)
- M. Terrier (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Bayern München 5-1 VfB StuttgartAug 28, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 3-2 1899 HoffenheimAug 29, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Aug 29, 2026
- RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachAug 29, 2026
- Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht FrankfurtAug 29, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SVAug 29, 2026
- SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenAug 30, 2026
- FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04Aug 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave SV Elversberg a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bayer Leverkusen 23%. SV Elversberg are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-2.
What is the most likely correct score for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The probability that both SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen score is 52%. SV Elversberg have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bayer Leverkusen 19%.
How many goals should we expect in SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for SV Elversberg, 1.02 for Bayer Leverkusen). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 1. Venue: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg.
What form are SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen in?
SV Elversberg: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 5 conceded). Bayer Leverkusen: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for SV Elversberg, 1 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0 draws.
What was the SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: SV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for SV Elversberg at 52%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for SV Elversberg, 1.02 for Bayer Leverkusen) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SV Elversberg predictions
- All Bayer Leverkusen predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- SV Elversberg cards
- Bayer Leverkusen cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology