Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FSV Mainz 05 (51%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07 met on Saturday, August 29, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Mewa Arena, Mainz. Before kick-off, our model gave FSV Mainz 05 a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and SC Paderborn 07 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 19 and conceding 4. SC Paderborn 07 are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 13 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average FSV Mainz 05 score 3.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; SC Paderborn 07 score 2.60 and concede 1.20.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for FSV Mainz 05, 0 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1 draw. FSV Mainz 05 out or doubtful: Silas, B. Hollerbach, E. Martel and P. Nebel. SC Paderborn 07: N. Awortwie-Grant, L. Eickel, T. Gayret and S. Michel. In double chance terms, "FSV Mainz 05 or draw" stands at 76%, "SC Paderborn 07 or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FSV Mainz 05 – SC Paderborn 07. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 1-1 SC Paderborn 07 | 11.8% |
| FSV Mainz 05 1-0 SC Paderborn 07 | 11.4% |
| FSV Mainz 05 2-1 SC Paderborn 07 | 9.5% |
| FSV Mainz 05 2-0 SC Paderborn 07 | 9.3% |
| FSV Mainz 05 0-1 SC Paderborn 07 | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.62 expected goals for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.03 for SC Paderborn 07, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. FSV Mainz 05 keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, SC Paderborn 07 in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 expected goals | 1.62 |
| SC Paderborn 07 expected goals | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet | 36% |
| SC Paderborn 07 clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
FSV Mainz 05
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Krieschow · DFB-Pokal | 9-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bournemouth · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paris FC · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Udinese · Club Friendlies | 3-3 | D |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
SC Paderborn 07
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck · DFB-Pokal | 4-2 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Werder Bremen · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| May 25, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for FSV Mainz 05, 0 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1 draw.
Out and doubtful
FSV Mainz 05
- Silas (out)
- B. Hollerbach (out)
- E. Martel (out)
- P. Nebel (out)
SC Paderborn 07
- N. Awortwie-Grant (out)
- L. Eickel (out)
- T. Gayret (out)
- S. Michel (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Bayern München 5-1 VfB StuttgartAug 28, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 3-2 1899 HoffenheimAug 29, 2026
- SV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenAug 29, 2026
- RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachAug 29, 2026
- Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht FrankfurtAug 29, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SVAug 29, 2026
- SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenAug 30, 2026
- FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04Aug 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FSV Mainz 05 a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and SC Paderborn 07 24%. FSV Mainz 05 are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?
The probability that both FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07 score is 52%. FSV Mainz 05 have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, SC Paderborn 07 20%.
How many goals should we expect in FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for FSV Mainz 05, 1.03 for SC Paderborn 07). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 1. Venue: Mewa Arena, Mainz.
What form are FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07 in?
FSV Mainz 05: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (19 scored, 4 conceded). SC Paderborn 07: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and SC Paderborn 07?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for FSV Mainz 05, 0 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1 draw.
What was the FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FSV Mainz 05 (51%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for FSV Mainz 05, 1.03 for SC Paderborn 07) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FSV Mainz 05 predictions
- All SC Paderborn 07 predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- FSV Mainz 05 cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology