Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for RB Leipzig was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach was played on Saturday, August 29, 2026 (Bundesliga, matchday 1). Venue: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig. Before kick-off, our model gave RB Leipzig a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, RB Leipzig have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Borussia Mönchengladbach are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 20 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Borussia Mönchengladbach. On average RB Leipzig score 2.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 4.00 and concede 0.60.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for RB Leipzig, 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1 draw. The most recent ended RB Leipzig 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (Apr 11, 2026). RB Leipzig out or doubtful: C. Baumgartner, A. Ouedraogo, M. Esteve, L. Klostermann and A. Kone. Borussia Mönchengladbach: J. Castrop, Y. Konoplya, F. C. Chiarodia, T. Cvancara and Z. Uno. In double chance terms, "RB Leipzig or draw" stands at 73%, "Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as RB Leipzig – Borussia Mönchengladbach. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 12.1% |
| RB Leipzig 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 11.2% |
| RB Leipzig 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9.3% |
| RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8.6% |
| RB Leipzig 0-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.62 goals in total (1.54 for RB Leipzig, 1.08 for Borussia Mönchengladbach): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Borussia Mönchengladbach in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig expected goals | 1.54 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach expected goals | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| RB Leipzig clean sheet | 34% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
RB Leipzig
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eintracht Trier · DFB-Pokal | 6-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bayern München · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leeds · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Verl · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04 · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz · DFB-Pokal | 5-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert · Club Friendlies | 8-0 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | RB Leipzig 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
RB Leipzig
- C. Baumgartner (out)
- A. Ouedraogo (out)
- M. Esteve (out)
- L. Klostermann (out)
- A. Kone (out)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- J. Castrop (out)
- Y. Konoplya (out)
- F. C. Chiarodia (out)
- T. Cvancara (out)
- Z. Uno (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Bayern München 5-1 VfB StuttgartAug 28, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 3-2 1899 HoffenheimAug 29, 2026
- SV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenAug 29, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Aug 29, 2026
- Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht FrankfurtAug 29, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SVAug 29, 2026
- SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenAug 30, 2026
- FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04Aug 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave RB Leipzig a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 27%. RB Leipzig are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.6%) and 0-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The probability that both RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach score is 52%. RB Leipzig have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Borussia Mönchengladbach 21%.
How many goals should we expect in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model expects 2.62 goals (1.54 for RB Leipzig, 1.08 for Borussia Mönchengladbach). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 1. Venue: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig.
What form are RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach in?
RB Leipzig: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded). Borussia Mönchengladbach: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (20 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for RB Leipzig, 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1 draw. The most recent ended RB Leipzig 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (Apr 11, 2026).
What was the RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for RB Leipzig was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.54 for RB Leipzig, 1.08 for Borussia Mönchengladbach) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All RB Leipzig predictions
- All Borussia Mönchengladbach predictions
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