Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: 2-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Borussia Dortmund was the model's favourite outcome (66%). The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.5%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (70%): correct.
Match analysis
1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund was played on Saturday, September 5, 2026 (Bundesliga, matchday 2). Venue: SNP Arena, Sinsheim. Before kick-off, our model gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Borussia Dortmund 66%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (9.4%), ahead of 0-2 (8.1%) and 1-3 (7.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, 1899 Hoffenheim have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Borussia Dortmund have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Borussia Dortmund. On average 1899 Hoffenheim score 2.20 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Borussia Dortmund score 2.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, 1899 Hoffenheim sit 12th with 0 points from 1 games, Borussia Dortmund 5th with 3 points from 1. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, 1899 Hoffenheim have averaged 1.88 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.53 for Borussia Dortmund.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for 1899 Hoffenheim, 1 for Borussia Dortmund and 0 draws. The most recent ended 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 Borussia Dortmund (Apr 18, 2026). 1899 Hoffenheim out or doubtful: F. Asllani, T. Lemperle and A. Prass. Borussia Dortmund: R. Bensebaini, E. Can, M. Kaba and N. Schlotterbeck. In double chance terms, "1899 Hoffenheim or draw" stands at 34%, "Borussia Dortmund or draw" at 84% and "no draw" at 82%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as 1899 Hoffenheim – Borussia Dortmund. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 40% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia Dortmund | 9.4% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 0-2 Borussia Dortmund | 8.1% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 1-3 Borussia Dortmund | 7.7% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 Borussia Dortmund | 7.6% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 0-3 Borussia Dortmund | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.63 goals in total (1.16 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 2.47 for Borussia Dortmund): over 2.5 goals has a 70% probability and both teams to score 63%. Everything points to an open game. 1899 Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet in 9% of scenarios, Borussia Dortmund in 31%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim expected goals | 1.16 |
| Borussia Dortmund expected goals | 2.47 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet | 9% |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 31% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
1899 Hoffenheim
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue · DFB-Pokal | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tottenham · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tottenham · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlsruher SC · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Borussia Dortmund
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | HEBC · DFB-Pokal | 5-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hamburger SV · Bundesliga | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern München · German Super Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Roma · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Tokyo · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 12 | 0 | 1 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
1899 Hoffenheim
- F. Asllani (out)
- T. Lemperle (out)
- A. Prass (out)
Borussia Dortmund
- R. Bensebaini (out)
- E. Can (out)
- M. Kaba (out)
- N. Schlotterbeck (out)
Other matches in this competition
- VfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC KölnSep 4, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgSep 5, 2026
- Werder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigSep 5, 2026
- Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union BerlinSep 5, 2026
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergSep 5, 2026
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern MünchenSep 5, 2026
- Hamburger SV 0-5 FSV Mainz 05Sep 6, 2026
- Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgSep 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Borussia Dortmund 66%. Borussia Dortmund are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-3.
What is the most likely correct score for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
1-2 (9.4%), followed by 0-2 (8.1%), 1-3 (7.7%), 1-1 (7.6%) and 0-3 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
The probability that both 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund score is 63%. 1899 Hoffenheim have a 9% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Borussia Dortmund 31%.
How many goals should we expect in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model expects 3.63 goals (1.16 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 2.47 for Borussia Dortmund). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 70%, over 3.5 goals 49%.
When and where is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund played?
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 2. Venue: SNP Arena, Sinsheim.
What form are 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund in?
1899 Hoffenheim: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 8 conceded). Borussia Dortmund: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for 1899 Hoffenheim, 1 for Borussia Dortmund and 0 draws. The most recent ended 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 Borussia Dortmund (Apr 18, 2026).
What was the 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Borussia Dortmund was the model's favourite outcome (66%). The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.5%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (70%): correct.
How is the 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.16 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 2.47 for Borussia Dortmund) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All 1899 Hoffenheim predictions
- All Borussia Dortmund predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- 1899 Hoffenheim cards
- Borussia Dortmund cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology