Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, September 5, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bayern München (84%), while a draw was rated at only 9%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (89%): missed.
Match analysis
FC Schalke 04 and Bayern München met on Saturday, September 5, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Schalke 04 a 7% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Bayern München 84%. On the correct score, 1-3 comes out on top (7.0%), followed by 1-4 (7.0%) and 0-3 (5.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, FC Schalke 04 have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 18 and conceding 6. Bayern München therefore arrive in far better shape than FC Schalke 04. On average FC Schalke 04 score 2.00 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Bayern München score 3.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, FC Schalke 04 sit 17th with 0 points from 1 games, Bayern München 1st with 3 points from 1. 16 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, FC Schalke 04 have averaged 2.10 xG (expected goals) per match, against 4.06 for Bayern München.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Schalke 04, 5 for Bayern München and 0 draws. FC Schalke 04 out or doubtful: E. Hojlund, T. Kalas and K. Karaman. Bayern München: T. Buchmann, S. Gnabry and J. Musiala. In double chance terms, "FC Schalke 04 or draw" stands at 16%, "Bayern München or draw" at 93% and "no draw" at 91%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC Schalke 04 – Bayern München. 1-3 is the single most likely scoreline (7.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 31% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 1-3 Bayern München | 7.0% |
| FC Schalke 04 1-4 Bayern München | 7.0% |
| FC Schalke 04 0-3 Bayern München | 5.7% |
| FC Schalke 04 0-4 Bayern München | 5.7% |
| FC Schalke 04 1-5 Bayern München | 5.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.23 expected goals for FC Schalke 04 and 4.00 for Bayern München, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 89% and "both teams to score" at 69%. Goals look likely in this one. FC Schalke 04 keep a clean sheet in 2% of scenarios, Bayern München in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 expected goals | 1.23 |
| Bayern München expected goals | 4.00 |
| Both teams to score | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 97% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 77% |
| FC Schalke 04 clean sheet | 2% |
| Bayern München clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
FC Schalke 04
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hallescher FC · DFB-Pokal | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Real Madrid · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hessen Kassel · Club Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
Bayern München
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück · DFB-Pokal | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga | 5-1 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · German Super Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim · Club Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | RB Leipzig · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 17 | 0 | 1 |
| Bayern München | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Schalke 04, 5 for Bayern München and 0 draws.
Out and doubtful
FC Schalke 04
- E. Hojlund (out)
- T. Kalas (out)
- K. Karaman (out)
Bayern München
- T. Buchmann (out)
- S. Gnabry (out)
- J. Musiala (out)
Other matches in this competition
- VfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC KölnSep 4, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgSep 5, 2026
- Werder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigSep 5, 2026
- Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union BerlinSep 5, 2026
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergSep 5, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia DortmundSep 5, 2026
- Hamburger SV 0-5 FSV Mainz 05Sep 6, 2026
- Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgSep 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FC Schalke 04 a 7% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Bayern München 84%. Bayern München are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München?
1-3 (7.0%), followed by 1-4 (7.0%), 0-3 (5.7%), 0-4 (5.7%) and 1-5 (5.6%).
Will both teams score in FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München?
The probability that both FC Schalke 04 and Bayern München score is 69%. FC Schalke 04 have a 2% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bayern München 29%.
How many goals should we expect in FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München?
The model expects 5.23 goals (1.23 for FC Schalke 04, 4.00 for Bayern München). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 97%, over 2.5 goals 89%, over 3.5 goals 77%.
When and where is FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München played?
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 2. Venue: Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen.
What form are FC Schalke 04 and Bayern München in?
FC Schalke 04: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 11 conceded). Bayern München: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Schalke 04 and Bayern München?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Schalke 04, 5 for Bayern München and 0 draws.
What was the FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bayern München (84%), while a draw was rated at only 9%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (89%): missed.
How is the FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for FC Schalke 04, 4.00 for Bayern München) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC Schalke 04 predictions
- All Bayern München predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- FC Schalke 04 cards
- Bayern München cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology