Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg: 3-4 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV Elversberg. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for SV Elversberg at 68%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.3%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
Match analysis
Borussia Mönchengladbach and SV Elversberg met on Saturday, September 5, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Borussia-Park. Before kick-off, our model gave Borussia Mönchengladbach a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SV Elversberg 68%. On the correct score, 0-2 comes out on top (13.6%), followed by 0-1 (13.5%) and 1-2 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 18 and conceding 5. SV Elversberg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 16 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Borussia Mönchengladbach score 3.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; SV Elversberg score 3.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 16th with 0 points from 1 games, SV Elversberg 7th with 3 points from 1. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Borussia Mönchengladbach have averaged 1.09 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.27 for SV Elversberg.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 0 for SV Elversberg and 0 draws. Borussia Mönchengladbach out or doubtful: J. Castrop, F. C. Chiarodia, T. Cvancara, Y. Konoplya and Z. Uno. SV Elversberg: L. Seifert and T. Zimmerschied. In double chance terms, "Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw" stands at 32%, "SV Elversberg or draw" at 88% and "no draw" at 80%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Borussia Mönchengladbach – SV Elversberg. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (13.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-2 SV Elversberg | 13.6% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-1 SV Elversberg | 13.5% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 SV Elversberg | 9.4% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 SV Elversberg | 9.3% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 SV Elversberg | 9.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.69 expected goals for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2.01 for SV Elversberg, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 43%. Borussia Mönchengladbach keep a clean sheet in 13% of scenarios, SV Elversberg in 50%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach expected goals | 0.69 |
| SV Elversberg expected goals | 2.01 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 13% |
| SV Elversberg clean sheet | 50% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz · DFB-Pokal | 5-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert · Club Friendlies | 8-0 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
SV Elversberg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | MSV Duisburg · DFB-Pokal | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lorient · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mallorca · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Strasbourg · Club Friendlies | 5-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 16 | 0 | 1 |
| SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 0 for SV Elversberg and 0 draws.
Out and doubtful
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- J. Castrop (out)
- F. C. Chiarodia (out)
- T. Cvancara (out)
- Y. Konoplya (out)
- Z. Uno (out)
SV Elversberg
- L. Seifert (out)
- T. Zimmerschied (out)
Other matches in this competition
- VfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC KölnSep 4, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgSep 5, 2026
- Werder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigSep 5, 2026
- Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union BerlinSep 5, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia DortmundSep 5, 2026
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern MünchenSep 5, 2026
- Hamburger SV 0-5 FSV Mainz 05Sep 6, 2026
- Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgSep 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Borussia Mönchengladbach a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SV Elversberg 68%. SV Elversberg are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-4.
What is the most likely correct score for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg?
0-2 (13.6%), followed by 0-1 (13.5%), 1-2 (9.4%), 1-1 (9.3%) and 0-3 (9.1%).
Will both teams score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg?
The probability that both Borussia Mönchengladbach and SV Elversberg score is 43%. Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 13% chance of keeping a clean sheet, SV Elversberg 50%.
How many goals should we expect in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg?
The model expects 2.70 goals (0.69 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 2.01 for SV Elversberg). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg played?
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 2. Venue: Borussia-Park.
What form are Borussia Mönchengladbach and SV Elversberg in?
Borussia Mönchengladbach: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 5 conceded). SV Elversberg: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and SV Elversberg?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 0 for SV Elversberg and 0 draws.
What was the Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV Elversberg. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for SV Elversberg at 68%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.3%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
How is the Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.69 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 2.01 for SV Elversberg) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Borussia Mönchengladbach predictions
- All SV Elversberg predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
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- SV Elversberg cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology