Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, September 12, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for 1899 Hoffenheim at 41%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (8.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (60%): correct.
Match analysis
1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart met on Saturday, September 12, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 3 fixture. Venue: SNP Arena, Sinsheim. Before kick-off, our model gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and VfB Stuttgart 36%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (10.8%), followed by 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.1%).
1899 Hoffenheim have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 10 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, VfB Stuttgart have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 8. VfB Stuttgart therefore arrive in far better shape than 1899 Hoffenheim. On average 1899 Hoffenheim score 2.00 and concede 2.20 goals per game; VfB Stuttgart score 2.40 and concede 1.60. In the table, 1899 Hoffenheim sit 16th with 0 points from 2 games, VfB Stuttgart 10th with 3 points from 2. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, 1899 Hoffenheim have averaged 1.52 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.13 for VfB Stuttgart.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim, 0 for VfB Stuttgart and 2 draws. The most recent ended 1899 Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB Stuttgart (May 2, 2026). 1899 Hoffenheim out or doubtful: A. Prass and K. Machida. VfB Stuttgart: L. Assignon, J. Diehl, S. Drljaca, L. Jaquez and N. Nartey. In double chance terms, "1899 Hoffenheim or draw" stands at 64%, "VfB Stuttgart or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as 1899 Hoffenheim – VfB Stuttgart. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 VfB Stuttgart | 10.8% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart | 8.7% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 1-2 VfB Stuttgart | 8.1% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 1-0 VfB Stuttgart | 7.2% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 0-1 VfB Stuttgart | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.61 expected goals for 1899 Hoffenheim and 1.50 for VfB Stuttgart, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 60% and "both teams to score" at 62%. Goals look likely in this one. 1899 Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet in 22% of scenarios, VfB Stuttgart in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim expected goals | 1.61 |
| VfB Stuttgart expected goals | 1.50 |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet | 22% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
1899 Hoffenheim
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue · DFB-Pokal | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tottenham · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tottenham · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Viking · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bayern München · Bundesliga | 1-5 | L |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hansa Rostock · DFB-Pokal | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fulham · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 16 | 0 | 2 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 2 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 0-0 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
1899 Hoffenheim
- A. Prass (out)
- K. Machida (out)
VfB Stuttgart
- L. Assignon (out)
- J. Diehl (out)
- S. Drljaca (out)
- L. Jaquez (out)
- N. Nartey (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Union Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04Sep 11, 2026
- SC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia MönchengladbachSep 12, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht FrankfurtSep 12, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07Sep 12, 2026
- FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenSep 12, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenSep 12, 2026
- RB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVSep 13, 2026
- SV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MünchenSep 13, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and VfB Stuttgart 36%. 1899 Hoffenheim are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
1-1 (10.8%), followed by 2-1 (8.7%), 1-2 (8.1%), 1-0 (7.2%) and 0-1 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
The probability that both 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart score is 62%. 1899 Hoffenheim have a 22% chance of keeping a clean sheet, VfB Stuttgart 20%.
How many goals should we expect in 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model expects 3.11 goals (1.61 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 1.50 for VfB Stuttgart). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, over 3.5 goals 38%.
When and where is 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart played?
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 3. Venue: SNP Arena, Sinsheim.
What form are 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart in?
1899 Hoffenheim: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 11 conceded). VfB Stuttgart: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim, 0 for VfB Stuttgart and 2 draws. The most recent ended 1899 Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB Stuttgart (May 2, 2026).
What was the 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for 1899 Hoffenheim at 41%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (8.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (60%): correct.
How is the 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 1.50 for VfB Stuttgart) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All 1899 Hoffenheim predictions
- All VfB Stuttgart predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- 1899 Hoffenheim cards
- VfB Stuttgart cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology