Bundesliga· Kick-off : Sunday, September 13, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
SV Elversberg vs Bayern München: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: SV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern München. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Bayern München at 45%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 2-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (81%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (84%): correct.
Match analysis
SV Elversberg and Bayern München met on Sunday, September 13, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 3 fixture. Venue: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg. Before kick-off, our model gave SV Elversberg a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bayern München 45%. On the correct score, 2-2 comes out on top (6.9%), followed by 1-2 (6.3%) and 2-3 (5.7%).
SV Elversberg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 15 and conceding 8. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 16 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average SV Elversberg score 3.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Bayern München score 3.20 and concede 0.60. In the table, SV Elversberg sit 4th with 6 points from 2 games, Bayern München 5th with 4 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, SV Elversberg have averaged 1.79 xG (expected goals) per match, against 3.00 for Bayern München.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SV Elversberg and Bayern München: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. SV Elversberg out or doubtful: L. Seifert and T. Zimmerschied. Bayern München: T. Buchmann and S. Gnabry. In double chance terms, "SV Elversberg or draw" stands at 55%, "Bayern München or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 81%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SV Elversberg – Bayern München. 2-2 is the single most likely scoreline (6.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 30% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SV Elversberg 2-2 Bayern München | 6.9% |
| SV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern München | 6.3% |
| SV Elversberg 2-3 Bayern München | 5.7% |
| SV Elversberg 2-1 Bayern München | 5.6% |
| SV Elversberg 1-3 Bayern München | 5.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.19 expected goals for SV Elversberg and 2.46 for Bayern München, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 84% and "both teams to score" at 81%. Goals look likely in this one. SV Elversberg keep a clean sheet in 9% of scenarios, Bayern München in 11%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SV Elversberg expected goals | 2.19 |
| Bayern München expected goals | 2.46 |
| Both teams to score | 81% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 68% |
| SV Elversberg clean sheet | 9% |
| Bayern München clean sheet | 11% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
SV Elversberg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga | 4-3 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | MSV Duisburg · DFB-Pokal | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lorient · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mallorca · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Bayern München
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt · UEFA Champions League | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 2, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück · DFB-Pokal | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga | 5-1 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · German Super Cup | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Bayern München | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SV Elversberg and Bayern München: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
SV Elversberg
- L. Seifert (out)
- T. Zimmerschied (out)
Bayern München
- T. Buchmann (out)
- S. Gnabry (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Union Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04Sep 11, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB StuttgartSep 12, 2026
- SC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia MönchengladbachSep 12, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht FrankfurtSep 12, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07Sep 12, 2026
- FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenSep 12, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenSep 12, 2026
- RB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVSep 13, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the SV Elversberg vs Bayern München prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave SV Elversberg a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bayern München 45%. Bayern München are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for SV Elversberg vs Bayern München?
2-2 (6.9%), followed by 1-2 (6.3%), 2-3 (5.7%), 2-1 (5.6%) and 1-3 (5.2%).
Will both teams score in SV Elversberg vs Bayern München?
The probability that both SV Elversberg and Bayern München score is 81%. SV Elversberg have a 9% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bayern München 11%.
How many goals should we expect in SV Elversberg vs Bayern München?
The model expects 4.65 goals (2.19 for SV Elversberg, 2.46 for Bayern München). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 84%, over 3.5 goals 68%.
When and where is SV Elversberg vs Bayern München played?
Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 3. Venue: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg.
What form are SV Elversberg and Bayern München in?
SV Elversberg: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 8 conceded). Bayern München: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the SV Elversberg vs Bayern München result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: SV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern München. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Bayern München at 45%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 2-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (81%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (84%): correct.
How is the SV Elversberg vs Bayern München prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.19 for SV Elversberg, 2.46 for Bayern München) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SV Elversberg predictions
- All Bayern München predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- SV Elversberg cards
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- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology