Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, September 12, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: 5-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: SC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for SC Freiburg at 56%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.4%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (84%): correct.
Match analysis
SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach met on Saturday, September 12, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 3 fixture. Venue: Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg. Before kick-off, our model gave SC Freiburg a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 21%. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (9.0%), followed by 4-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.5%).
SC Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 17 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 18 and conceding 8. SC Freiburg therefore arrive in far better shape than Borussia Mönchengladbach. On average SC Freiburg score 3.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 3.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, SC Freiburg sit 2nd with 6 points from 2 games, Borussia Mönchengladbach 17th with 0 points from 2. 15 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, SC Freiburg have averaged 1.81 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.73 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for SC Freiburg, 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1 draw. The most recent ended SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (Feb 22, 2026). Borussia Mönchengladbach: D. Hashioka, Y. Konoplya, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold and Z. Uno. In double chance terms, "SC Freiburg or draw" stands at 79%, "Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw" at 44% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SC Freiburg – Borussia Mönchengladbach. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Freiburg 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9.0% |
| SC Freiburg 4-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8.5% |
| SC Freiburg 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7.5% |
| SC Freiburg 2-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7.1% |
| SC Freiburg 4-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.77 expected goals for SC Freiburg and 0.83 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 84% and "both teams to score" at 55%. Goals look likely in this one. SC Freiburg keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Borussia Mönchengladbach in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SC Freiburg expected goals | 3.77 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach expected goals | 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 67% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 44% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
SC Freiburg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Werder Bremen · Bundesliga | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Motherwell · UEFA Conference League | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf · DFB-Pokal | 5-1 | W |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Motherwell · UEFA Conference League | 3-1 | W |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 3-4 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz · DFB-Pokal | 5-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert · Club Friendlies | 8-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 17 | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
SC Freiburg
No absences reported.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- D. Hashioka (out)
- Y. Konoplya (out)
- N. Kuhn (out)
- E. Leopold (out)
- Z. Uno (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Union Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04Sep 11, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB StuttgartSep 12, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht FrankfurtSep 12, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07Sep 12, 2026
- FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenSep 12, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenSep 12, 2026
- RB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVSep 13, 2026
- SV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MünchenSep 13, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave SC Freiburg a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 21%. SC Freiburg are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-0.
What is the most likely correct score for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
3-0 (9.0%), followed by 4-0 (8.5%), 3-1 (7.5%), 2-0 (7.1%) and 4-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The probability that both SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach score is 55%. SC Freiburg have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Borussia Mönchengladbach 2%.
How many goals should we expect in SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model expects 4.60 goals (3.77 for SC Freiburg, 0.83 for Borussia Mönchengladbach). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 84%, over 3.5 goals 67%.
When and where is SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 3. Venue: Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg.
What form are SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach in?
SC Freiburg: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (17 scored, 4 conceded). Borussia Mönchengladbach: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for SC Freiburg, 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1 draw. The most recent ended SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (Feb 22, 2026).
What was the SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: SC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for SC Freiburg at 56%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.4%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (84%): correct.
How is the SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.77 for SC Freiburg, 0.83 for Borussia Mönchengladbach) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SC Freiburg predictions
- All Borussia Mönchengladbach predictions
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