Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, September 19, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg: 2-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Eintracht Frankfurt (39%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): correct.
Match analysis
Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg met on Saturday, September 19, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 4 fixture. Venue: Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt. Before kick-off, our model gave Eintracht Frankfurt a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SC Freiburg 36%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.2%), followed by 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Eintracht Frankfurt have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 18 and conceding 15. SC Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 19 and conceding 3. SC Freiburg therefore arrive in far better shape than Eintracht Frankfurt. On average Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.60 and concede 3.00 goals per game; SC Freiburg score 3.80 and concede 0.60. In the table, Eintracht Frankfurt sit 9th with 4 points from 3 games, SC Freiburg 2nd with 9 points from 3. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Eintracht Frankfurt have averaged 1.85 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.81 for SC Freiburg.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt, 0 for SC Freiburg and 1 draw. The most recent ended Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 SC Freiburg (Mar 1, 2026). Eintracht Frankfurt out or doubtful: J. Maluze, J. Ngankam and F. Chaibi. In double chance terms, "Eintracht Frankfurt or draw" stands at 64%, "SC Freiburg or draw" at 61% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Eintracht Frankfurt – SC Freiburg. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 SC Freiburg | 11.2% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 SC Freiburg | 8.6% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 SC Freiburg | 8.2% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 SC Freiburg | 7.6% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 0-1 SC Freiburg | 7.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.54 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.47 for SC Freiburg, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 58% and "both teams to score" at 61%. Eintracht Frankfurt keep a clean sheet in 23% of scenarios, SC Freiburg in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals | 1.54 |
| SC Freiburg expected goals | 1.47 |
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 23% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 3-3 | D |
| Aug 21, 2026 | SC St. Tönis · DFB-Pokal | 11-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentford · Club Friendlies | 0-7 | L |
SC Freiburg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Werder Bremen · Bundesliga | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Motherwell · UEFA Conference League | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf · DFB-Pokal | 5-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 4 | 3 |
| SC Freiburg | 2 | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | SC Freiburg 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
Eintracht Frankfurt
- J. Maluze (out)
- J. Ngankam (out)
- F. Chaibi (out)
SC Freiburg
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Bayern München 7-0 Union BerlinSep 18, 2026
- Hamburger SV 2-1 1. FC KölnSep 19, 2026
- Werder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgSep 19, 2026
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Sep 19, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia DortmundSep 19, 2026
- Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigSep 20, 2026
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergSep 20, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 HoffenheimSep 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Eintracht Frankfurt a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SC Freiburg 36%. Eintracht Frankfurt are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?
1-1 (11.2%), followed by 2-1 (8.6%), 1-2 (8.2%), 1-0 (7.6%) and 0-1 (7.2%).
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?
The probability that both Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg score is 61%. Eintracht Frankfurt have a 23% chance of keeping a clean sheet, SC Freiburg 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?
The model expects 3.01 goals (1.54 for Eintracht Frankfurt, 1.47 for SC Freiburg). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 58%, over 3.5 goals 36%.
When and where is Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg played?
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 4. Venue: Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt.
What form are Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg in?
Eintracht Frankfurt: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 15 conceded). SC Freiburg: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (19 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt, 0 for SC Freiburg and 1 draw. The most recent ended Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 SC Freiburg (Mar 1, 2026).
What was the Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Eintracht Frankfurt (39%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): correct.
How is the Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.54 for Eintracht Frankfurt, 1.47 for SC Freiburg) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Eintracht Frankfurt predictions
- All SC Freiburg predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology