Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, September 19, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg: 3-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Werder Bremen 3-2 FC Augsburg. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Werder Bremen at 41%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): correct.
Match analysis
Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg met on Saturday, September 19, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 4 fixture. Venue: Weserstadion, Bremen. Before kick-off, our model gave Werder Bremen a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Augsburg 35%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Werder Bremen have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, FC Augsburg have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 7. FC Augsburg therefore arrive in far better shape than Werder Bremen. On average Werder Bremen score 1.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; FC Augsburg score 2.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Werder Bremen sit 10th with 4 points from 3 games, FC Augsburg 4th with 7 points from 3. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Werder Bremen have averaged 0.74 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.42 for FC Augsburg.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Werder Bremen, 1 for FC Augsburg and 1 draw. The most recent ended Werder Bremen 1-3 FC Augsburg (May 2, 2026). Werder Bremen out or doubtful: F. Agu, M. N'Diaye, J. Njinmah, J. Stage and K. Topp. FC Augsburg: T. Breithaupt, A. Kade, S. Mounie, F. Sakar and T. Schnitzer. In double chance terms, "Werder Bremen or draw" stands at 65%, "FC Augsburg or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Werder Bremen – FC Augsburg. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Augsburg | 11.6% |
| Werder Bremen 2-1 FC Augsburg | 8.7% |
| Werder Bremen 1-0 FC Augsburg | 8.4% |
| Werder Bremen 1-2 FC Augsburg | 8.0% |
| Werder Bremen 0-1 FC Augsburg | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.51 expected goals for Werder Bremen and 1.38 for FC Augsburg, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 55% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Werder Bremen keep a clean sheet in 25% of scenarios, FC Augsburg in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Werder Bremen expected goals | 1.51 |
| FC Augsburg expected goals | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Werder Bremen clean sheet | 25% |
| FC Augsburg clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Werder Bremen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa · DFB-Pokal | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auxerre · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
FC Augsburg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Energie Cottbus · DFB-Pokal | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds · Club Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 |
| FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Werder Bremen 1-3 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | FC Augsburg 0-0 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
Werder Bremen
- F. Agu (out)
- M. N'Diaye (out)
- J. Njinmah (out)
- J. Stage (out)
- K. Topp (out)
FC Augsburg
- T. Breithaupt (out)
- A. Kade (out)
- S. Mounie (out)
- F. Sakar (out)
- T. Schnitzer (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Bayern München 7-0 Union BerlinSep 18, 2026
- Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC FreiburgSep 19, 2026
- Hamburger SV 2-1 1. FC KölnSep 19, 2026
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Sep 19, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia DortmundSep 19, 2026
- Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigSep 20, 2026
- FC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergSep 20, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 HoffenheimSep 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Werder Bremen a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Augsburg 35%. Werder Bremen are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
1-1 (11.6%), followed by 2-1 (8.7%), 1-0 (8.4%), 1-2 (8.0%) and 0-1 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
The probability that both Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg score is 58%. Werder Bremen have a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Augsburg 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
The model expects 2.89 goals (1.51 for Werder Bremen, 1.38 for FC Augsburg). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg played?
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 4. Venue: Weserstadion, Bremen.
What form are Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg in?
Werder Bremen: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded). FC Augsburg: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Werder Bremen, 1 for FC Augsburg and 1 draw. The most recent ended Werder Bremen 1-3 FC Augsburg (May 2, 2026).
What was the Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Werder Bremen 3-2 FC Augsburg. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Werder Bremen at 41%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): correct.
How is the Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.51 for Werder Bremen, 1.38 for FC Augsburg) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Werder Bremen predictions
- All FC Augsburg predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology