Bundesliga· Kick-off : Sunday, September 20, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FC Schalke 04 0-0 SV Elversberg. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for SV Elversberg (54%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): missed.
Match analysis
FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg met on Sunday, September 20, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 4 fixture. Venue: Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Schalke 04 a 22% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SV Elversberg 54%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.3%), followed by 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, FC Schalke 04 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, SV Elversberg have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 9. SV Elversberg therefore arrive in far better shape than FC Schalke 04. On average FC Schalke 04 score 1.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; SV Elversberg score 3.00 and concede 1.80. In the table, FC Schalke 04 sit 11th with 4 points from 3 games, SV Elversberg 8th with 6 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, FC Schalke 04 have averaged 1.16 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.51 for SV Elversberg.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for FC Schalke 04, 1 for SV Elversberg and 1 draw. FC Schalke 04 out or doubtful: T. Kalas and D. Ljubicic. SV Elversberg: F. Onyeka, L. Seifert and T. Zimmerschied. In double chance terms, "FC Schalke 04 or draw" stands at 46%, "SV Elversberg or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC Schalke 04 – SV Elversberg. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 1-1 SV Elversberg | 11.3% |
| FC Schalke 04 0-1 SV Elversberg | 11.2% |
| FC Schalke 04 1-2 SV Elversberg | 9.8% |
| FC Schalke 04 0-2 SV Elversberg | 9.7% |
| FC Schalke 04 1-0 SV Elversberg | 6.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.01 expected goals for FC Schalke 04 and 1.73 for SV Elversberg, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 52% and "both teams to score" at 52%. FC Schalke 04 keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, SV Elversberg in 36%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 expected goals | 1.01 |
| SV Elversberg expected goals | 1.73 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| FC Schalke 04 clean sheet | 18% |
| SV Elversberg clean sheet | 36% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
FC Schalke 04
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bayern München · Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hallescher FC · DFB-Pokal | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Real Madrid · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
SV Elversberg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bayern München · Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga | 4-3 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | MSV Duisburg · DFB-Pokal | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lorient · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 11 | 4 | 3 |
| SV Elversberg | 8 | 6 | 3 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for FC Schalke 04, 1 for SV Elversberg and 1 draw.
Out and doubtful
FC Schalke 04
- T. Kalas (out)
- D. Ljubicic (out)
SV Elversberg
- F. Onyeka (out)
- L. Seifert (out)
- T. Zimmerschied (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Bayern München 7-0 Union BerlinSep 18, 2026
- Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC FreiburgSep 19, 2026
- Hamburger SV 2-1 1. FC KölnSep 19, 2026
- Werder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgSep 19, 2026
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Sep 19, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia DortmundSep 19, 2026
- Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigSep 20, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 HoffenheimSep 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FC Schalke 04 a 22% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SV Elversberg 54%. SV Elversberg are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg?
1-1 (11.3%), followed by 0-1 (11.2%), 1-2 (9.8%), 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-0 (6.5%).
Will both teams score in FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg?
The probability that both FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg score is 52%. FC Schalke 04 have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, SV Elversberg 36%.
How many goals should we expect in FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg?
The model expects 2.74 goals (1.01 for FC Schalke 04, 1.73 for SV Elversberg). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 52%, over 3.5 goals 30%.
When and where is FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg played?
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 4. Venue: Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen.
What form are FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg in?
FC Schalke 04: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded). SV Elversberg: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for FC Schalke 04, 1 for SV Elversberg and 1 draw.
What was the FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FC Schalke 04 0-0 SV Elversberg. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for SV Elversberg (54%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): missed.
How is the FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.01 for FC Schalke 04, 1.73 for SV Elversberg) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC Schalke 04 predictions
- All SV Elversberg predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology