Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Bundesliga, matchday 5: the RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt match is scheduled on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time). Venue: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig. With a 69% win probability, RB Leipzig go in as strong favourites against Eintracht Frankfurt (16%), with the draw rated at 15%. The most likely correct score is 3-1 (7.4%), ahead of 2-1 (7.0%) and 4-1 (5.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, RB Leipzig have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Eintracht Frankfurt have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 20 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average RB Leipzig score 2.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Eintracht Frankfurt score 4.00 and concede 2.00. In the table, RB Leipzig sit 9th with 6 points from 4 games, Eintracht Frankfurt 10th with 5 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, RB Leipzig have averaged 2.63 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.85 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for RB Leipzig, 1 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 0 draws. The most recent ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 RB Leipzig (Apr 18, 2026). RB Leipzig out or doubtful: C. Baumgartner, M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo and R. Reitz. Eintracht Frankfurt: F. Chaibi, J. Maluze and J. Ngankam. In double chance terms, "RB Leipzig or draw" stands at 84%, "Eintracht Frankfurt or draw" at 31% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : RB Leipzig are favourites for this RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt, with a 69% win probability from our model. In the table, RB Leipzig (9th, 6 pts) host Eintracht Frankfurt (10th, 5 pts). One to watch: RB Leipzig will be without C. Baumgartner and M. Guiu.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt. 3-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 31% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 7.4% |
| RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 7.0% |
| RB Leipzig 4-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 5.8% |
| RB Leipzig 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 5.7% |
| RB Leipzig 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 5.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.70 goals in total (3.16 for RB Leipzig, 1.54 for Eintracht Frankfurt): over 2.5 goals has a 85% probability and both teams to score 75%. Everything points to an open game. RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Eintracht Frankfurt in 4%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig expected goals | 3.16 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 69% |
| RB Leipzig clean sheet | 21% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 4% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
RB Leipzig
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Hamburger SV · Bundesliga | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Como · UEFA Champions League | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Werder Bremen · Bundesliga | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga | 3-0 | W |
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 3-3 | D |
| Aug 21, 2026 | SC St. Tönis · DFB-Pokal | 11-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 4 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 10 | 5 | 4 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Dec 6, 2025 | RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Dec 15, 2024 | RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Dec 4, 2024 | RB Leipzig 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt | DFB Pokal |
Out and doubtful
RB Leipzig
- C. Baumgartner (out)
- M. Guiu (out)
- A. Ouedraogo (out)
- R. Reitz (out)
Eintracht Frankfurt
- F. Chaibi (out)
- J. Maluze (out)
- J. Ngankam (out)
Most regular starters
RB Leipzig
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Nusa5/5
- D. Raum5/5
- M. Vandevoordt5/5
- E. Banzuzi4/5
- N. El Aynaoui4/5
- R. Baku4/5
- B. Gruda3/5
- C. Lukeba3/5
- C. Nkunku3/5
- N. Seiwald3/5
- W. Orban3/5
Eintracht Frankfurt
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Uzun5/5
- J. Burkardt5/5
- K. Kosugi5/5
- R. Koch5/5
- R. Onyedika5/5
- E. Baum4/5
- N. Atubolu4/5
- Y. Ebnoutalib4/5
- L. Brassier3/5
- A. Amaimouni2/5
- J. Maluze2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Borussia Dortmund – Werder BremenOct 9, 2026
- FC Augsburg – Bayern MünchenOct 10, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 – VfB StuttgartOct 10, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 – Bayer LeverkusenOct 10, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SVOct 10, 2026
- Union Berlin – SV ElversbergOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction?
Our AI gives RB Leipzig a 69% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Eintracht Frankfurt 16%. RB Leipzig are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
3-1 (7.4%), followed by 2-1 (7.0%), 4-1 (5.8%), 3-2 (5.7%) and 2-2 (5.4%).
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The probability that both RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt score is 75%. RB Leipzig have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Eintracht Frankfurt 4%.
How many goals should we expect in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The model expects 4.70 goals (3.16 for RB Leipzig, 1.54 for Eintracht Frankfurt). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 85%, over 3.5 goals 69%.
When and where is RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 5. Venue: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig.
What form are RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt in?
RB Leipzig: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 9 conceded). Eintracht Frankfurt: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (20 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for RB Leipzig, 1 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 0 draws. The most recent ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 RB Leipzig (Apr 18, 2026).
How is the RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.16 for RB Leipzig, 1.54 for Eintracht Frankfurt) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All RB Leipzig predictions
- All Eintracht Frankfurt predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology