Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: SC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB Stuttgart. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for SC Paderborn 07 (35%), while victory for VfB Stuttgart was rated at only 33%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.6%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (37%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (29%): correct.
Match analysis
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 (Bundesliga, matchday 5). Venue: Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. Before kick-off, our model gave SC Paderborn 07 a 35% chance of winning, the draw 32% and VfB Stuttgart 33%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (15.6%), ahead of 1-0 (14.6%) and 0-1 (14.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, SC Paderborn 07 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, VfB Stuttgart have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average SC Paderborn 07 score 0.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; VfB Stuttgart score 2.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, SC Paderborn 07 sit 12th with 4 points from 4 games, VfB Stuttgart 15th with 3 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for SC Paderborn 07, 2 for VfB Stuttgart and 1 draw. The most recent ended SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart (Jan 31, 2023). SC Paderborn 07 out or doubtful: N. Awortwie-Grant, L. Eickel, T. Gayret, M. Hoffmeier and S. Klaas. VfB Stuttgart: A. Al Dakhil, J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas and D. Zagadou. In double chance terms, "SC Paderborn 07 or draw" stands at 67%, "VfB Stuttgart or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 68%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart: our model sees no clear favourite. In the table, SC Paderborn 07 (12th, 4 pts) host VfB Stuttgart (15th, 3 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 65% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 0-0 VfB Stuttgart | 15.6% |
| SC Paderborn 07 1-0 VfB Stuttgart | 14.6% |
| SC Paderborn 07 0-1 VfB Stuttgart | 14.3% |
| SC Paderborn 07 1-1 VfB Stuttgart | 13.5% |
| SC Paderborn 07 2-0 VfB Stuttgart | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.86 goals in total (0.94 for SC Paderborn 07, 0.92 for VfB Stuttgart): over 2.5 goals has a 29% probability and both teams to score 37%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. SC Paderborn 07 keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, VfB Stuttgart in 39%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 expected goals | 0.94 |
| VfB Stuttgart expected goals | 0.92 |
| Both teams to score | 37% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% |
| SC Paderborn 07 clean sheet | 40% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 39% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
SC Paderborn 07
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | DC United · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Club Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Viking · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 | 12 | 4 | 4 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 15 | 3 | 4 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart | DFB Pokal |
| May 23, 2015 | SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2014 | VfB Stuttgart 0-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
SC Paderborn 07
- N. Awortwie-Grant (out)
- L. Eickel (out)
- T. Gayret (out)
- M. Hoffmeier (out)
- S. Klaas (out)
VfB Stuttgart
- A. Al Dakhil (out)
- J. Diehl (out)
- N. Nartey (out)
- T. Tomas (out)
- D. Zagadou (out)
Most regular starters
SC Paderborn 07
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Vidovic5/5
- J. ter Horst5/5
- M. Pieringer5/5
- S. Castaneda5/5
- L. Curda4/5
- L. Ulrich4/5
- M. Hansen4/5
- N. Noll4/5
- R. Obermair4/5
- T. Scheller4/5
- S. Marino3/5
VfB Stuttgart
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Stiller4/4
- F. Bredlow4/4
- F. Jeltsch4/4
- G. Promel4/4
- M. Mittelstadt4/4
- C. Fuhrich3/4
- D. Undav3/4
- E. Demirovic3/4
- J. Chabot3/4
- B. El Khannouss2/4
- J. Leweling2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder BremenOct 9, 2026
- FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern MünchenOct 10, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer LeverkusenOct 10, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburger SVOct 10, 2026
- Union Berlin 1-0 SV ElversbergOct 10, 2026
- RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht FrankfurtOct 10, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachOct 11, 2026
- SC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04Oct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave SC Paderborn 07 a 35% chance of winning, the draw 32% and VfB Stuttgart 33%. SC Paderborn 07 are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
0-0 (15.6%), followed by 1-0 (14.6%), 0-1 (14.3%), 1-1 (13.5%) and 2-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
The probability that both SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart score is 37%. SC Paderborn 07 have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, VfB Stuttgart 39%.
How many goals should we expect in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model expects 1.86 goals (0.94 for SC Paderborn 07, 0.92 for VfB Stuttgart). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 56%, over 2.5 goals 29%, over 3.5 goals 12%.
When and where is SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 5. Venue: Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn.
What form are SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart in?
SC Paderborn 07: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded). VfB Stuttgart: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for SC Paderborn 07, 2 for VfB Stuttgart and 1 draw. The most recent ended SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart (Jan 31, 2023).
What was the SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: SC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB Stuttgart. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for SC Paderborn 07 (35%), while victory for VfB Stuttgart was rated at only 33%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.6%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (37%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (29%): correct.
How is the SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.94 for SC Paderborn 07, 0.92 for VfB Stuttgart) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SC Paderborn 07 predictions
- All VfB Stuttgart predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology