Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
SC Paderborn 07 take on VfB Stuttgart on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), a Bundesliga, matchday 5 fixture. Venue: Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. The edge goes to VfB Stuttgart (53%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a SC Paderborn 07 win (22%). The most likely correct score is 0-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-1 (11.7%) and 0-2 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, SC Paderborn 07 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average SC Paderborn 07 score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; VfB Stuttgart score 1.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, SC Paderborn 07 sit 12th with 4 points from 4 games, VfB Stuttgart 15th with 3 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, SC Paderborn 07 have averaged 0.75 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.13 for VfB Stuttgart.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for SC Paderborn 07, 2 for VfB Stuttgart and 1 draw. The most recent ended SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart (Jan 31, 2023). SC Paderborn 07 out or doubtful: N. Awortwie-Grant, L. Eickel and T. Gayret. VfB Stuttgart: L. Assignon, J. Diehl, M. Herwerth, L. Jaquez, D. Seimen, T. Tomas and D. Zagadou. In double chance terms, "SC Paderborn 07 or draw" stands at 47%, "VfB Stuttgart or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs VfB Stuttgart to edge SC Paderborn 07 (53% probability). In the table, SC Paderborn 07 (12th, 4 pts) host VfB Stuttgart (15th, 3 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 50%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 0-1 VfB Stuttgart | 12.0% |
| SC Paderborn 07 1-1 VfB Stuttgart | 11.7% |
| SC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB Stuttgart | 9.9% |
| SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart | 9.6% |
| SC Paderborn 07 0-0 VfB Stuttgart | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.62 goals in total (0.97 for SC Paderborn 07, 1.65 for VfB Stuttgart): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 50%. SC Paderborn 07 keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, VfB Stuttgart in 38%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 expected goals | 0.97 |
| VfB Stuttgart expected goals | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| SC Paderborn 07 clean sheet | 19% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 38% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
SC Paderborn 07
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck · DFB-Pokal | 4-2 | W |
VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Viking · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bayern München · Bundesliga | 1-5 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 | 12 | 4 | 4 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 15 | 3 | 4 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart | DFB Pokal |
| May 23, 2015 | SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2014 | VfB Stuttgart 0-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
SC Paderborn 07
- N. Awortwie-Grant (out)
- L. Eickel (out)
- T. Gayret (out)
VfB Stuttgart
- L. Assignon (out)
- J. Diehl (out)
- M. Herwerth (out)
- L. Jaquez (out)
- D. Seimen (out)
- T. Tomas (out)
- D. Zagadou (out)
Most regular starters
SC Paderborn 07
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. ter Horst5/5
- L. Curda5/5
- L. Ulrich5/5
- M. Hansen5/5
- R. Obermair5/5
- T. Scheller5/5
- G. Vidovic4/5
- M. Pieringer4/5
- N. Noll4/5
- S. Castaneda4/5
- S. Marino4/5
VfB Stuttgart
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Stiller5/5
- F. Bredlow5/5
- J. Chabot5/5
- D. Undav4/5
- F. Jeltsch4/5
- G. Promel4/5
- J. Vagnoman4/5
- M. Mittelstadt4/5
- B. El Khannouss3/5
- C. Fuhrich3/5
- D. Pejcinovic3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Borussia Dortmund – Werder BremenOct 9, 2026
- FC Augsburg – Bayern MünchenOct 10, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 – Bayer LeverkusenOct 10, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim – Hamburger SVOct 10, 2026
- Union Berlin – SV ElversbergOct 10, 2026
- RB Leipzig – Eintracht FrankfurtOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction?
Our AI gives SC Paderborn 07 a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and VfB Stuttgart 53%. VfB Stuttgart are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
0-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-1 (11.7%), 0-2 (9.9%), 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-0 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
The probability that both SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart score is 50%. SC Paderborn 07 have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, VfB Stuttgart 38%.
How many goals should we expect in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model expects 2.62 goals (0.97 for SC Paderborn 07, 1.65 for VfB Stuttgart). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 5. Venue: Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn.
What form are SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart in?
SC Paderborn 07: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). VfB Stuttgart: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for SC Paderborn 07, 2 for VfB Stuttgart and 1 draw. The most recent ended SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart (Jan 31, 2023).
How is the SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.97 for SC Paderborn 07, 1.65 for VfB Stuttgart) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SC Paderborn 07 predictions
- All VfB Stuttgart predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology