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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise: 3-2 result and AI prediction review

Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3 – 2Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-2

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Union St. Gilloise. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Union St. Gilloise (54%), while victory for Bodo/Glimt was rated at only 24%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): correct.

Match analysis

Bodo/Glimt and Union St. Gilloise met on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø. Before kick-off, our model gave Bodo/Glimt a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union St. Gilloise 54%. On the correct score, 1-2 comes out on top (9.6%), followed by 1-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (7.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Bodo/Glimt have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Union St. Gilloise have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Bodo/Glimt score 2.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Union St. Gilloise score 3.40 and concede 2.40. In the table, Bodo/Glimt sit 23rd with 9 points from 8 games, Union St. Gilloise 27th with 9 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bodo/Glimt, 0 for Union St. Gilloise and 1 draw. The most recent ended Union St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/Glimt (Aug 4, 2026). Bodo/Glimt out or doubtful: H. Evjen, A. Mikkelsen and I. Sjong. In double chance terms, "Bodo/Glimt or draw" stands at 46%, "Union St. Gilloise or draw" at 76% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

24%
Bodo/Glimt (Win)
22%
Draw
54%
Union St. Gilloise (Win)

Double chance

46%
Bodo/Glimt or draw
76%
Union St. Gilloise or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Bodo/Glimt – Union St. Gilloise. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Union St. Gilloise9.6%
Bodo/Glimt 1-1 Union St. Gilloise9.6%
Bodo/Glimt 0-2 Union St. Gilloise7.5%
Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Union St. Gilloise7.4%
Bodo/Glimt 1-3 Union St. Gilloise6.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.29 expected goals for Bodo/Glimt and 2.01 for Union St. Gilloise, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 64% and "both teams to score" at 63%. Goals look likely in this one. Bodo/Glimt keep a clean sheet in 13% of scenarios, Union St. Gilloise in 28%.

Probability
Bodo/Glimt expected goals1.29
Union St. Gilloise expected goals2.01
Both teams to score63%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet13%
Union St. Gilloise clean sheet28%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Bodo/Glimt

DateOpponentScore
Aug 4, 2026Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Champions League3-3D
Jul 4, 2026Start · Club Friendlies4-0W
Jun 28, 2026Molde · Club Friendlies4-1W
Mar 17, 2026Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League0-5L
Mar 11, 2026Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League3-0W

Union St. Gilloise

DateOpponentScore
Aug 8, 2026KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League5-1W
Aug 4, 2026Bodo/Glimt · UEFA Champions League3-3D
Jul 25, 2026Lille · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 24, 2026Patro Eisden · Club Friendlies4-0W
Jul 18, 2026PSV Eindhoven · Club Friendlies3-7L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bodo/Glimt2398
Union St. Gilloise2798

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Union St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

Bodo/Glimt

  • H. Evjen (out)
  • A. Mikkelsen (out)
  • I. Sjong (out)

Union St. Gilloise

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Bodo/Glimt a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union St. Gilloise 54%. Union St. Gilloise are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?

1-2 (9.6%), followed by 1-1 (9.6%), 0-2 (7.5%), 0-1 (7.4%) and 1-3 (6.4%).

Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?

The probability that both Bodo/Glimt and Union St. Gilloise score is 63%. Bodo/Glimt have a 13% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Union St. Gilloise 28%.

How many goals should we expect in Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?

The model expects 3.30 goals (1.29 for Bodo/Glimt, 2.01 for Union St. Gilloise). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.

When and where is Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise played?

Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø.

What form are Bodo/Glimt and Union St. Gilloise in?

Bodo/Glimt: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 9 conceded). Union St. Gilloise: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (17 scored, 12 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bodo/Glimt and Union St. Gilloise?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bodo/Glimt, 0 for Union St. Gilloise and 1 draw. The most recent ended Union St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/Glimt (Aug 4, 2026).

What was the Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Union St. Gilloise. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Union St. Gilloise (54%), while victory for Bodo/Glimt was rated at only 24%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): correct.

How is the Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.29 for Bodo/Glimt, 2.01 for Union St. Gilloise) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained