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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: 0-2 result and AI prediction review

FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda0 – 2Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FK Crvena Zvezda (55%), while victory for Hapoel Beer Sheva was rated at only 21%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda and Hapoel Beer Sheva met on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Stadium Rajko Mitić, Belgrade. Before kick-off, our model gave FK Crvena Zvezda a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 21%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, FK Crvena Zvezda have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.40 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FK Crvena Zvezda, 1 for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 0 draws. The most recent ended Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda (Aug 4, 2026). In double chance terms, "FK Crvena Zvezda or draw" stands at 79%, "Hapoel Beer Sheva or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

55%
FK Crvena Zvezda (Win)
24%
Draw
21%
Hapoel Beer Sheva (Win)

Double chance

79%
FK Crvena Zvezda or draw
45%
Hapoel Beer Sheva or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FK Crvena Zvezda – Hapoel Beer Sheva. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FK Crvena Zvezda 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva11.7%
FK Crvena Zvezda 1-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva11.3%
FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva10.0%
FK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva9.7%
FK Crvena Zvezda 0-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva6.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.72 expected goals for FK Crvena Zvezda and 0.97 for Hapoel Beer Sheva, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. FK Crvena Zvezda keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Hapoel Beer Sheva in 18%.

Probability
FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals1.72
Hapoel Beer Sheva expected goals0.97
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
FK Crvena Zvezda clean sheet38%
Hapoel Beer Sheva clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FK Crvena Zvezda

DateOpponentScore
Aug 4, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 29, 2026Larne · UEFA Champions League5-0W
Jul 21, 2026Larne · UEFA Champions League4-0W
Jul 3, 2026FC BW Linz · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jun 29, 2026Slovan Bratislava · Club Friendlies1-1D

Hapoel Beer Sheva

DateOpponentScore
Aug 4, 2026FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 29, 2026Vikingur Reykjavik · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Jul 21, 2026Vikingur Reykjavik · UEFA Champions League1-2L
Jul 7, 2026Legia Warszawa · Club Friendlies1-3L
Jul 5, 2026Omonia Nicosia · Club Friendlies2-2D

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

FK Crvena Zvezda

No absences reported.

Hapoel Beer Sheva

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FK Crvena Zvezda a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 21%. FK Crvena Zvezda are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.

What is the most likely correct score for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.8%).

Will both teams score in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

The probability that both FK Crvena Zvezda and Hapoel Beer Sheva score is 51%. FK Crvena Zvezda have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Hapoel Beer Sheva 18%.

How many goals should we expect in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

The model expects 2.69 goals (1.72 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 0.97 for Hapoel Beer Sheva). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva played?

Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stadium Rajko Mitić, Belgrade.

What form are FK Crvena Zvezda and Hapoel Beer Sheva in?

FK Crvena Zvezda: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded). Hapoel Beer Sheva: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between FK Crvena Zvezda and Hapoel Beer Sheva?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FK Crvena Zvezda, 1 for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 0 draws. The most recent ended Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda (Aug 4, 2026).

What was the FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FK Crvena Zvezda (55%), while victory for Hapoel Beer Sheva was rated at only 21%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.72 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 0.97 for Hapoel Beer Sheva) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained