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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia: 0-1 result and AI prediction review

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty0 – 1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Kairat Almaty 0-1 Levski Sofia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Levski Sofia at 43%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

Kairat Almaty and Levski Sofia met on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Turkestan Arena, Turkistan. Before kick-off, our model gave Kairat Almaty a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Levski Sofia 43%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.7%) and 1-2 (8.9%).

Over their last 5 matches, Kairat Almaty have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Levski Sofia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Kairat Almaty score 1.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Levski Sofia score 1.80 and concede 0.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kairat Almaty, 1 for Levski Sofia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat Almaty (Aug 4, 2026). In double chance terms, "Kairat Almaty or draw" stands at 57%, "Levski Sofia or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

31%
Kairat Almaty (Win)
26%
Draw
43%
Levski Sofia (Win)

Double chance

57%
Kairat Almaty or draw
69%
Levski Sofia or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Kairat Almaty – Levski Sofia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Kairat Almaty 1-1 Levski Sofia12.4%
Kairat Almaty 0-1 Levski Sofia10.7%
Kairat Almaty 1-2 Levski Sofia8.9%
Kairat Almaty 1-0 Levski Sofia8.6%
Kairat Almaty 0-2 Levski Sofia7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.16 expected goals for Kairat Almaty and 1.44 for Levski Sofia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Kairat Almaty keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Levski Sofia in 31%.

Probability
Kairat Almaty expected goals1.16
Levski Sofia expected goals1.44
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Kairat Almaty clean sheet24%
Levski Sofia clean sheet31%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Kairat Almaty

DateOpponentScore
Aug 4, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 29, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 22, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 15, 2026Sutjeska · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Jul 8, 2026Sutjeska · UEFA Champions League2-1W

Levski Sofia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 4, 2026Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 29, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 22, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 14, 2026Borac Banja Luka · UEFA Champions League4-0W
Jul 7, 2026Borac Banja Luka · UEFA Champions League1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Kairat Almaty3618

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

Kairat Almaty

No absences reported.

Levski Sofia

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Kairat Almaty a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Levski Sofia 43%. Levski Sofia are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?

1-1 (12.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.7%), 1-2 (8.9%), 1-0 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?

The probability that both Kairat Almaty and Levski Sofia score is 52%. Kairat Almaty have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Levski Sofia 31%.

How many goals should we expect in Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?

The model expects 2.60 goals (1.16 for Kairat Almaty, 1.44 for Levski Sofia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia played?

Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Turkestan Arena, Turkistan.

What form are Kairat Almaty and Levski Sofia in?

Kairat Almaty: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded). Levski Sofia: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Kairat Almaty and Levski Sofia?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kairat Almaty, 1 for Levski Sofia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat Almaty (Aug 4, 2026).

What was the Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Kairat Almaty 0-1 Levski Sofia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Levski Sofia at 43%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.16 for Kairat Almaty, 1.44 for Levski Sofia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained