UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)
NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Olympiakos Piraeus. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for NEC Nijmegen at 83%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (75%): correct.
Match analysis
NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus met on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen. Before kick-off, our model gave NEC Nijmegen a 83% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Olympiakos Piraeus 6%. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (10.0%), followed by 2-0 (9.7%) and 3-1 (8.0%).
NEC Nijmegen have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Olympiakos Piraeus have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average NEC Nijmegen score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.00 and concede 1.60.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for NEC Nijmegen, 0 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1 draw. The most recent ended Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 NEC Nijmegen (Aug 4, 2026). NEC Nijmegen out or doubtful: Y. Moslih, K. Ogawa and P. Schuurs. In double chance terms, "NEC Nijmegen or draw" stands at 94%, "Olympiakos Piraeus or draw" at 17% and "no draw" at 89%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as NEC Nijmegen – Olympiakos Piraeus. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen 3-0 Olympiakos Piraeus | 10.0% |
| NEC Nijmegen 2-0 Olympiakos Piraeus | 9.7% |
| NEC Nijmegen 3-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | 8.0% |
| NEC Nijmegen 4-0 Olympiakos Piraeus | 7.8% |
| NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.11 expected goals for NEC Nijmegen and 0.80 for Olympiakos Piraeus, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 75% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Goals look likely in this one. NEC Nijmegen keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Olympiakos Piraeus in 5%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen expected goals | 3.11 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals | 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% |
| NEC Nijmegen clean sheet | 45% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet | 5% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
NEC Nijmegen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telstar · Eredivisie | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Champions League | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sevilla · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Al-Fayha · Club Friendlies | 7-0 | W |
Olympiakos Piraeus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Champions League | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Antwerp · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ajax · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 NEC Nijmegen | UEFA Champions League |
Out and doubtful
NEC Nijmegen
- Y. Moslih (out)
- K. Ogawa (out)
- P. Schuurs (out)
Olympiakos Piraeus
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Kairat Almaty 0-1 Levski SofiaAug 11, 2026
- Sabah FA 4-0 AarhusAug 11, 2026
- Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Union St. GilloiseAug 11, 2026
- Kauno Žalgiris 1-2 Dinamo ZagrebAug 11, 2026
- FK Crvena Zvezda 0-2 Hapoel Beer ShevaAug 11, 2026
- Celje 2-0 Ararat-ArmeniaAug 11, 2026
- Slovan Bratislava 2-0 Mjallby AIFAug 11, 2026
- Sturm Graz 0-1 FenerbahçeAug 11, 2026
- Lyon 3-0 Sparta PrahaAug 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave NEC Nijmegen a 83% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Olympiakos Piraeus 6%. NEC Nijmegen are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
3-0 (10.0%), followed by 2-0 (9.7%), 3-1 (8.0%), 4-0 (7.8%) and 2-1 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The probability that both NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus score is 53%. NEC Nijmegen have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Olympiakos Piraeus 5%.
How many goals should we expect in NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model expects 3.91 goals (3.11 for NEC Nijmegen, 0.80 for Olympiakos Piraeus). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 75%, over 3.5 goals 55%.
When and where is NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus played?
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen.
What form are NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus in?
NEC Nijmegen: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Olympiakos Piraeus: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for NEC Nijmegen, 0 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1 draw. The most recent ended Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 NEC Nijmegen (Aug 4, 2026).
What was the NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Olympiakos Piraeus. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for NEC Nijmegen at 83%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 3-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (75%): correct.
How is the NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.11 for NEC Nijmegen, 0.80 for Olympiakos Piraeus) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All NEC Nijmegen predictions
- All Olympiakos Piraeus predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology