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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris1 – 2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kauno Žalgiris (51%), while victory for Dinamo Zagreb was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Kauno Žalgiris and Dinamo Zagreb met on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas, Kaunas. Before kick-off, our model gave Kauno Žalgiris a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Zagreb 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Kauno Žalgiris have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 22 and conceding 5. Dinamo Zagreb therefore arrive in far better shape than Kauno Žalgiris. On average Kauno Žalgiris score 1.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Dinamo Zagreb score 4.40 and concede 1.00.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kauno Žalgiris, 1 for Dinamo Zagreb and 0 draws. The most recent ended Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 Kauno Žalgiris (Aug 4, 2026). In double chance terms, "Kauno Žalgiris or draw" stands at 76%, "Dinamo Zagreb or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
Kauno Žalgiris (Win)
25%
Draw
24%
Dinamo Zagreb (Win)

Double chance

76%
Kauno Žalgiris or draw
49%
Dinamo Zagreb or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Kauno Žalgiris – Dinamo Zagreb. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Kauno Žalgiris 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb11.8%
Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb11.4%
Kauno Žalgiris 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb9.5%
Kauno Žalgiris 2-0 Dinamo Zagreb9.2%
Kauno Žalgiris 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.61 expected goals for Kauno Žalgiris and 1.04 for Dinamo Zagreb, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Kauno Žalgiris keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Dinamo Zagreb in 20%.

Probability
Kauno Žalgiris expected goals1.61
Dinamo Zagreb expected goals1.04
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet35%
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Kauno Žalgiris

DateOpponentScore
Aug 4, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League0-5L
Jul 29, 2026KI Klaksvik · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 21, 2026KI Klaksvik · UEFA Champions League0-0D
Jul 14, 2026Drita · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Jul 7, 2026Drita · UEFA Champions League1-1D

Dinamo Zagreb

DateOpponentScore
Aug 4, 2026Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Champions League5-0W
Jul 28, 2026FC Thun · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Jul 21, 2026FC Thun · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 8, 2026Koper · Club Friendlies4-2W
Jul 2, 2026Brinje-Grosuplje · Club Friendlies9-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

Kauno Žalgiris

No absences reported.

Dinamo Zagreb

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Kauno Žalgiris a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Zagreb 24%. Kauno Žalgiris are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?

1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?

The probability that both Kauno Žalgiris and Dinamo Zagreb score is 52%. Kauno Žalgiris have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Dinamo Zagreb 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for Kauno Žalgiris, 1.04 for Dinamo Zagreb). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb played?

Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas, Kaunas.

What form are Kauno Žalgiris and Dinamo Zagreb in?

Kauno Žalgiris: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded). Dinamo Zagreb: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (22 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Kauno Žalgiris and Dinamo Zagreb?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kauno Žalgiris, 1 for Dinamo Zagreb and 0 draws. The most recent ended Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 Kauno Žalgiris (Aug 4, 2026).

What was the Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kauno Žalgiris (51%), while victory for Dinamo Zagreb was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Kauno Žalgiris, 1.04 for Dinamo Zagreb) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained