UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Sabah FA vs Aarhus: 4-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Sabah FA 4-0 Aarhus. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Sabah FA was the model's favourite outcome (54%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
Sabah FA vs Aarhus was played on Tuesday, August 11, 2026 (UEFA Champions League). Venue: Bank Respublika Arena, Absheron. Before kick-off, our model gave Sabah FA a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aarhus 22%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Sabah FA have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Aarhus have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Sabah FA score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Aarhus score 2.20 and concede 1.40.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sabah FA, 1 for Aarhus and 0 draws. The most recent ended Aarhus 2-1 Sabah FA (Aug 5, 2026). In double chance terms, "Sabah FA or draw" stands at 78%, "Aarhus or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Sabah FA – Aarhus. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sabah FA 1-0 Aarhus | 11.6% |
| Sabah FA 1-1 Aarhus | 11.5% |
| Sabah FA 2-0 Aarhus | 9.8% |
| Sabah FA 2-1 Aarhus | 9.7% |
| Sabah FA 0-0 Aarhus | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.68 goals in total (1.69 for Sabah FA, 0.99 for Aarhus): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Sabah FA keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Aarhus in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Sabah FA expected goals | 1.69 |
| Aarhus expected goals | 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Sabah FA clean sheet | 37% |
| Aarhus clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Sabah FA
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Aarhus · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 28, 2026 | KuPS · UEFA Champions League | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 21, 2026 | KuPS · UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 14, 2026 | The New Saints · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 7, 2026 | The New Saints · UEFA Champions League | 2-0 | W |
Aarhus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lech Poznan · UEFA Champions League | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lech Poznan · UEFA Champions League | 1-4 | L |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Motherwell · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Aarhus 2-1 Sabah FA | UEFA Champions League |
Out and doubtful
Sabah FA
No absences reported.
Aarhus
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Kairat Almaty 0-1 Levski SofiaAug 11, 2026
- Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Union St. GilloiseAug 11, 2026
- Kauno Žalgiris 1-2 Dinamo ZagrebAug 11, 2026
- NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Olympiakos PiraeusAug 11, 2026
- FK Crvena Zvezda 0-2 Hapoel Beer ShevaAug 11, 2026
- Celje 2-0 Ararat-ArmeniaAug 11, 2026
- Slovan Bratislava 2-0 Mjallby AIFAug 11, 2026
- Sturm Graz 0-1 FenerbahçeAug 11, 2026
- Lyon 3-0 Sparta PrahaAug 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Sabah FA vs Aarhus prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Sabah FA a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aarhus 22%. Sabah FA are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Sabah FA vs Aarhus?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Sabah FA vs Aarhus?
The probability that both Sabah FA and Aarhus score is 51%. Sabah FA have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Aarhus 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Sabah FA vs Aarhus?
The model expects 2.68 goals (1.69 for Sabah FA, 0.99 for Aarhus). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Sabah FA vs Aarhus played?
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Bank Respublika Arena, Absheron.
What form are Sabah FA and Aarhus in?
Sabah FA: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). Aarhus: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Sabah FA and Aarhus?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sabah FA, 1 for Aarhus and 0 draws. The most recent ended Aarhus 2-1 Sabah FA (Aug 5, 2026).
What was the Sabah FA vs Aarhus result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Sabah FA 4-0 Aarhus. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Sabah FA was the model's favourite outcome (54%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the Sabah FA vs Aarhus prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.69 for Sabah FA, 0.99 for Aarhus) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Sabah FA predictions
- All Aarhus predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology