UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Auda vs FCSB: 4-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Auda 4-1 FCSB. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FCSB (60%), while victory for Auda was rated at only 18%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.
Match analysis
Auda vs FCSB was played on Thursday, July 30, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Skonto stadions, Riga. Before kick-off, our model gave Auda a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FCSB 60%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (11.2%), ahead of 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-1 (10.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Auda have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 6. FCSB have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 14. Recent momentum is clearly with Auda. On average Auda score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; FCSB score 1.00 and concede 2.80.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Auda, 0 for FCSB and 0 draws. The most recent ended FCSB 2-3 Auda (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Auda or draw" stands at 40%, "FCSB or draw" at 82% and "no draw" at 78%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Auda – FCSB. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Auda 0-1 FCSB | 11.2% |
| Auda 0-2 FCSB | 10.7% |
| Auda 1-1 FCSB | 10.4% |
| Auda 1-2 FCSB | 9.9% |
| Auda 0-3 FCSB | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.83 goals in total (0.93 for Auda, 1.90 for FCSB): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 52%. Auda keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, FCSB in 40%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Auda expected goals | 0.93 |
| FCSB expected goals | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Auda clean sheet | 15% |
| FCSB clean sheet | 40% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Auda
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | FCSB · UEFA Conference League | 3-2 | W |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FK Vozdovac · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
FCSB
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Auda · UEFA Conference League | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise · Club Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Europa League | 1-4 | L |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | FCSB 2-3 Auda | UEFA Conference League |
Out and doubtful
Auda
No absences reported.
FCSB
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Ilves 1-0 StjarnanJul 30, 2026
- Kalju Nomme 2-1 ShelbourneJul 30, 2026
- FC Noah 2-1 ZimbruJul 30, 2026
- Inter Turku 2-0 BaşakşehirJul 30, 2026
- Zira 1-1 PaideJul 30, 2026
- Pyunik Yerevan 0-0 Debreceni VSCJul 30, 2026
- FK Jablonec 2-0 NK VarazdinJul 30, 2026
- FC Levadia Tallinn 1-3 IFK GoteborgJul 30, 2026
- Petrocub 3-3 Borac Banja LukaJul 30, 2026
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius 7-2 Dinamo TbilisiJul 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Auda vs FCSB prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Auda a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FCSB 60%. FCSB are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Auda vs FCSB?
0-1 (11.2%), followed by 0-2 (10.7%), 1-1 (10.4%), 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-3 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Auda vs FCSB?
The probability that both Auda and FCSB score is 52%. Auda have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FCSB 40%.
How many goals should we expect in Auda vs FCSB?
The model expects 2.83 goals (0.93 for Auda, 1.90 for FCSB). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Auda vs FCSB played?
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Skonto stadions, Riga.
What form are Auda and FCSB in?
Auda: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). FCSB: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 14 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Auda and FCSB?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Auda, 0 for FCSB and 0 draws. The most recent ended FCSB 2-3 Auda (Jul 23, 2026).
What was the Auda vs FCSB result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Auda 4-1 FCSB. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FCSB (60%), while victory for Auda was rated at only 18%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.
How is the Auda vs FCSB prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.93 for Auda, 1.90 for FCSB) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Auda predictions
- All FCSB predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology