UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
FC Noah vs Zimbru: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FC Noah 2-1 Zimbru. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FC Noah was the model's favourite outcome (50%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
FC Noah vs Zimbru was played on Thursday, July 30, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Noah a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zimbru 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.9%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
FC Noah have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Zimbru have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 11. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FC Noah score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Zimbru score 1.80 and concede 2.20.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Noah, 0 for Zimbru and 1 draw. The most recent ended Zimbru 1-1 FC Noah (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "FC Noah or draw" stands at 75%, "Zimbru or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC Noah – Zimbru. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Noah 1-1 Zimbru | 11.9% |
| FC Noah 1-0 Zimbru | 11.4% |
| FC Noah 2-1 Zimbru | 9.5% |
| FC Noah 2-0 Zimbru | 9.1% |
| FC Noah 0-1 Zimbru | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.64 goals in total (1.60 for FC Noah, 1.04 for Zimbru): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. FC Noah keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Zimbru in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC Noah expected goals | 1.60 |
| Zimbru expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| FC Noah clean sheet | 35% |
| Zimbru clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
FC Noah
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Zimbru · UEFA Conference League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 7, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Mura · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Aluminij · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Koper · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
Zimbru
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Noah · UEFA Conference League | 1-1 | D |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv · Club Friendlies | 3-5 | L |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Esbjerg · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Noah | 19 | 8 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Zimbru 1-1 FC Noah | UEFA Conference League |
Out and doubtful
FC Noah
No absences reported.
Zimbru
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Ilves 1-0 StjarnanJul 30, 2026
- Kalju Nomme 2-1 ShelbourneJul 30, 2026
- Inter Turku 2-0 BaşakşehirJul 30, 2026
- Auda 4-1 FCSBJul 30, 2026
- Zira 1-1 PaideJul 30, 2026
- Pyunik Yerevan 0-0 Debreceni VSCJul 30, 2026
- FK Jablonec 2-0 NK VarazdinJul 30, 2026
- FC Levadia Tallinn 1-3 IFK GoteborgJul 30, 2026
- Petrocub 3-3 Borac Banja LukaJul 30, 2026
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius 7-2 Dinamo TbilisiJul 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FC Noah vs Zimbru prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FC Noah a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zimbru 25%. FC Noah are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Noah vs Zimbru?
1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.1%) and 0-1 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in FC Noah vs Zimbru?
The probability that both FC Noah and Zimbru score is 52%. FC Noah have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Zimbru 20%.
How many goals should we expect in FC Noah vs Zimbru?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.60 for FC Noah, 1.04 for Zimbru). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is FC Noah vs Zimbru played?
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan.
What form are FC Noah and Zimbru in?
FC Noah: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Zimbru: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Noah and Zimbru?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Noah, 0 for Zimbru and 1 draw. The most recent ended Zimbru 1-1 FC Noah (Jul 23, 2026).
What was the FC Noah vs Zimbru result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FC Noah 2-1 Zimbru. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FC Noah was the model's favourite outcome (50%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the FC Noah vs Zimbru prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.60 for FC Noah, 1.04 for Zimbru) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC Noah predictions
- All Zimbru predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology