UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
FC Copenhagen vs Polessya: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FC Copenhagen 2-1 Polessya. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FC Copenhagen at 55%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
FC Copenhagen and Polessya met on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Parken Stadium, Copenhagen. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Copenhagen a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Polessya 21%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.0%).
FC Copenhagen have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 10 and conceding 15. Polessya are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 20 and conceding 5. Polessya therefore arrive in far better shape than FC Copenhagen. On average FC Copenhagen score 2.00 and concede 3.00 goals per game; Polessya score 4.00 and concede 1.00.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Copenhagen, 0 for Polessya and 1 draw. The most recent ended Polessya 3-3 FC Copenhagen (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "FC Copenhagen or draw" stands at 79%, "Polessya or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC Copenhagen – Polessya. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen 1-0 Polessya | 11.7% |
| FC Copenhagen 1-1 Polessya | 11.3% |
| FC Copenhagen 2-0 Polessya | 10.0% |
| FC Copenhagen 2-1 Polessya | 9.7% |
| FC Copenhagen 0-0 Polessya | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.72 expected goals for FC Copenhagen and 0.97 for Polessya, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. FC Copenhagen keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Polessya in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen expected goals | 1.72 |
| Polessya expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| FC Copenhagen clean sheet | 38% |
| Polessya clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
FC Copenhagen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Polessya · UEFA Conference League | 3-3 | D |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Plzen · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mjallby AIF · Club Friendlies | 5-3 | W |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Aarhus · Club Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Barcelona · UEFA Champions League | 1-4 | L |
Polessya
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Copenhagen · UEFA Conference League | 3-3 | D |
| Jul 10, 2026 | WSG Wattens · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Wörgl · Club Friendlies | 11-0 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Sabah FA · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Polessya 3-3 FC Copenhagen | UEFA Conference League |
Out and doubtful
FC Copenhagen
No absences reported.
Polessya
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Drita 2-1 FlorianaJul 28, 2026
- Dukagjini 1-5 FC LuganoJul 29, 2026
- Rapid Vienna 6-2 FC Santa ColomaJul 29, 2026
- FK Tobol Kostanay 1-1 PanevėžysJul 30, 2026
- Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 0-2 FC VaduzJul 30, 2026
- Ilves 1-0 StjarnanJul 30, 2026
- Kalju Nomme 2-1 ShelbourneJul 30, 2026
- FC Noah 2-1 ZimbruJul 30, 2026
- Inter Turku 2-0 BaşakşehirJul 30, 2026
- Auda 4-1 FCSBJul 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FC Copenhagen vs Polessya prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FC Copenhagen a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Polessya 21%. FC Copenhagen are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Copenhagen vs Polessya?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in FC Copenhagen vs Polessya?
The probability that both FC Copenhagen and Polessya score is 51%. FC Copenhagen have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Polessya 18%.
How many goals should we expect in FC Copenhagen vs Polessya?
The model expects 2.69 goals (1.72 for FC Copenhagen, 0.97 for Polessya). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is FC Copenhagen vs Polessya played?
Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Parken Stadium, Copenhagen.
What form are FC Copenhagen and Polessya in?
FC Copenhagen: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 15 conceded). Polessya: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (20 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Copenhagen and Polessya?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Copenhagen, 0 for Polessya and 1 draw. The most recent ended Polessya 3-3 FC Copenhagen (Jul 23, 2026).
What was the FC Copenhagen vs Polessya result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FC Copenhagen 2-1 Polessya. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FC Copenhagen at 55%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the FC Copenhagen vs Polessya prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.72 for FC Copenhagen, 0.97 for Polessya) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC Copenhagen predictions
- All Polessya predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

