UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)
Floriana vs Drita: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Floriana 1-1 Drita. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Drita (47%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
Match analysis
Floriana and Drita met on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali. Before kick-off, our model gave Floriana a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Drita 47%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.3%), followed by 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Floriana have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Drita have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 11. Floriana therefore arrive in far better shape than Drita. On average Floriana score 1.80 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Drita score 1.00 and concede 2.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Floriana and Drita: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Floriana or draw" stands at 54%, "Drita or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Floriana – Drita. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Floriana 1-1 Drita | 12.3% |
| Floriana 0-1 Drita | 11.1% |
| Floriana 1-2 Drita | 9.2% |
| Floriana 0-2 Drita | 8.4% |
| Floriana 1-0 Drita | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.10 expected goals for Floriana and 1.50 for Drita, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Floriana keep a clean sheet in 22% of scenarios, Drita in 33%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Floriana expected goals | 1.10 |
| Drita expected goals | 1.50 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Floriana clean sheet | 22% |
| Drita clean sheet | 33% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Floriana
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Champions League | 1-5 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Champions League | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Ballkani · UEFA Conference League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Ballkani · UEFA Conference League | 2-4 | L |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC · UEFA Conference League | 3-2 | W |
Drita
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Champions League | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 21, 2026 | CSKA 1948 · Club Friendlies | 1-4 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Floriana and Drita: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Floriana
No absences reported.
Drita
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- IFK Goteborg 1-2 FC Levadia TallinnJul 21, 2026
- Atert Bissen 2-6 Gyori ETO FCJul 21, 2026
- Neftchi Baku 2-4 Dinamo MinskJul 22, 2026
- Bohemians 2-1 BallkaniJul 22, 2026
- Başakşehir 1-1 Inter TurkuJul 22, 2026
- Vardar Skopje 2-3 RigaJul 22, 2026
- Spartak Trnava 0-0 CSKA 1948Jul 22, 2026
- Železničar Pančevo 0-1 SC BragaJul 22, 2026
- Malisheva 2-0 HibernianJul 23, 2026
- FK Liepaja 0-2 Austria ViennaJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Floriana vs Drita prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Floriana a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Drita 47%. Drita are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Floriana vs Drita?
1-1 (12.3%), followed by 0-1 (11.1%), 1-2 (9.2%), 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-0 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Floriana vs Drita?
The probability that both Floriana and Drita score is 52%. Floriana have a 22% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Drita 33%.
How many goals should we expect in Floriana vs Drita?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.10 for Floriana, 1.50 for Drita). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Floriana vs Drita played?
Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali.
What form are Floriana and Drita in?
Floriana: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 12 conceded). Drita: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 11 conceded).
What was the Floriana vs Drita result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Floriana 1-1 Drita. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Drita (47%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
How is the Floriana vs Drita prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.10 for Floriana, 1.50 for Drita) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Floriana predictions
- All Drita predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology