Eredivisie· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Twente. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Twente (71%), while a draw was rated at only 17%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.9%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.
Match analysis
Fortuna Sittard and Twente met on Saturday, October 10, 2026, a Eredivisie, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sitard. Before kick-off, our model gave Fortuna Sittard a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Twente 71%. On the correct score, 0-2 comes out on top (10.8%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Fortuna Sittard have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Twente are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 15 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Fortuna Sittard score 2.00 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Twente score 3.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Fortuna Sittard sit 6th with 13 points from 7 games, Twente 4th with 16 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Fortuna Sittard have averaged 0.88 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.40 for Twente.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Fortuna Sittard, 4 for Twente and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente (Mar 21, 2026). Fortuna Sittard out or doubtful: R. Bayram, I. Marquez and Y. Oukili. Twente: S. Lemkin. In double chance terms, "Fortuna Sittard or draw" stands at 29%, "Twente or draw" at 88% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Twente are tipped by our AI model in this Fortuna Sittard v Twente (71%). On recent form, Fortuna Sittard are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Twente are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-2.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Fortuna Sittard – Twente. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (10.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Twente | 10.8% |
| Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente | 9.5% |
| Fortuna Sittard 0-1 Twente | 9.0% |
| Fortuna Sittard 0-3 Twente | 8.7% |
| Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Twente | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.88 expected goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.40 for Twente, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 64% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Goals look likely in this one. Fortuna Sittard keep a clean sheet in 9% of scenarios, Twente in 42%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard expected goals | 0.88 |
| Twente expected goals | 2.40 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Fortuna Sittard clean sheet | 9% |
| Twente clean sheet | 42% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Fortuna Sittard
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Genk · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Willem II · Eredivisie | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ajax · Eredivisie | 1-5 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Groningen · Eredivisie | 3-2 | W |
Twente
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Werder Bremen · Club Friendlies | 7-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar · Eredivisie | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| Twente | 4 | 16 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Twente 3-2 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Twente 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Twente 2-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
Out and doubtful
Fortuna Sittard
- R. Bayram (out)
- I. Marquez (out)
- Y. Oukili (out)
Twente
- S. Lemkin (out)
Most regular starters
Fortuna Sittard
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Michut5/5
- I. Pinto5/5
- J. Dahlhaus5/5
- M. Branderhorst5/5
- M. Ihattaren5/5
- P. Brittijn5/5
- R. Guth5/5
- A. Descotte4/5
- J. Hubner4/5
- S. Zand4/5
- L. Zeefuik3/5
Twente
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. van Rooij5/5
- D. Weidmann5/5
- M. Bruns5/5
- L. Unnerstall4/5
- R. Nijstad4/5
- R. Propper4/5
- R. Zerrouki4/5
- S. Orjasaeter4/5
- W. Weghorst4/5
- Y. Taha4/5
- M. Pjaca3/5
Other matches in this competition
- PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenOct 9, 2026
- GO Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta RotterdamOct 10, 2026
- Feyenoord 2-0 AZ AlkmaarOct 10, 2026
- Ajax 1-1 NEC NijmegenOct 10, 2026
- Utrecht 3-1 Willem IIOct 11, 2026
- Telstar 2-2 ADO Den HaagOct 11, 2026
- PEC Zwolle 0-1 CambuurOct 11, 2026
- Excelsior 1-5 GroningenOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Fortuna Sittard vs Twente prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Fortuna Sittard a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Twente 71%. Twente are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?
0-2 (10.8%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (9.0%), 0-3 (8.7%) and 1-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?
The probability that both Fortuna Sittard and Twente score is 53%. Fortuna Sittard have a 9% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Twente 42%.
How many goals should we expect in Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?
The model expects 3.28 goals (0.88 for Fortuna Sittard, 2.40 for Twente). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.
When and where is Fortuna Sittard vs Twente played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Eredivisie, matchday 8. Venue: Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sitard.
What form are Fortuna Sittard and Twente in?
Fortuna Sittard: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 10 conceded). Twente: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Sittard and Twente?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Fortuna Sittard, 4 for Twente and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente (Mar 21, 2026).
What was the Fortuna Sittard vs Twente result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Twente. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Twente (71%), while a draw was rated at only 17%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.9%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.
How is the Fortuna Sittard vs Twente prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.88 for Fortuna Sittard, 2.40 for Twente) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Fortuna Sittard predictions
- All Twente predictions
- Eredivisie predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology