Eredivisie· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Eredivisie, matchday 8: Fortuna Sittard vs Twente kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time). Venue: Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard. Twente start as favourites with a 55% chance of victory; Fortuna Sittard are given 22% and the draw 23%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (10.9%), followed by 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Fortuna Sittard have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Twente are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 13 and conceding 4. Twente therefore arrive in far better shape than Fortuna Sittard. On average Fortuna Sittard score 2.00 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Twente score 2.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Fortuna Sittard sit 6th with 13 points from 7 games, Twente 4th with 16 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Fortuna Sittard have averaged 1.08 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.76 for Twente.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Fortuna Sittard, 2 for Twente and 0 draws. The most recent ended Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente (Mar 21, 2026). Fortuna Sittard out or doubtful: R. Bayram, I. Marquez, Y. Oukili, S. Simons and S. Wylin. Twente: K. Hlynsson and S. Lemkin. In double chance terms, "Fortuna Sittard or draw" stands at 45%, "Twente or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Twente are tipped by our AI model in this Fortuna Sittard v Twente (55%). On recent form, Fortuna Sittard have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Twente are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Fortuna Sittard – Twente. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Twente | 10.9% |
| Fortuna Sittard 0-1 Twente | 10.4% |
| Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente | 9.8% |
| Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Twente | 9.4% |
| Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Twente | 6.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.05 expected goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.81 for Twente, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 55% and "both teams to score" at 54%. Fortuna Sittard keep a clean sheet in 16% of scenarios, Twente in 35%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard expected goals | 1.05 |
| Twente expected goals | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Fortuna Sittard clean sheet | 16% |
| Twente clean sheet | 35% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Fortuna Sittard
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ajax · Eredivisie | 1-5 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Groningen · Eredivisie | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambuur · Eredivisie | 3-1 | W |
Twente
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar · Eredivisie | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cambuur · Eredivisie | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Qarabag · UEFA Conference League | 4-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| Twente | 4 | 16 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Twente 3-2 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
Out and doubtful
Fortuna Sittard
- R. Bayram (out)
- I. Marquez (out)
- Y. Oukili (out)
- S. Simons (out)
- S. Wylin (out)
Twente
- K. Hlynsson (out)
- S. Lemkin (out)
Most regular starters
Fortuna Sittard
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Hubner5/5
- L. Zeefuik5/5
- M. Branderhorst5/5
- P. Brittijn5/5
- E. Michut4/5
- I. Pinto4/5
- J. Dahlhaus4/5
- M. Ihattaren4/5
- S. Zand4/5
- A. Descotte3/5
- O. Romeny3/5
Twente
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. van Rooij5/5
- D. Weidmann5/5
- R. Nijstad5/5
- R. Zerrouki5/5
- W. Weghorst5/5
- Y. Taha5/5
- L. Unnerstall4/5
- M. Bruns4/5
- S. Orjasaeter4/5
- M. Pjaca3/5
- R. Propper3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Fortuna Sittard vs Twente prediction?
Our AI gives Fortuna Sittard a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Twente 55%. Twente are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?
1-1 (10.9%), followed by 0-1 (10.4%), 1-2 (9.8%), 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-0 (6.0%).
Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?
The probability that both Fortuna Sittard and Twente score is 54%. Fortuna Sittard have a 16% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Twente 35%.
How many goals should we expect in Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?
The model expects 2.86 goals (1.05 for Fortuna Sittard, 1.81 for Twente). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Fortuna Sittard vs Twente played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Eredivisie, matchday 8. Venue: Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard.
What form are Fortuna Sittard and Twente in?
Fortuna Sittard: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 12 conceded). Twente: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Sittard and Twente?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Fortuna Sittard, 2 for Twente and 0 draws. The most recent ended Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente (Mar 21, 2026).
How is the Fortuna Sittard vs Twente prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.05 for Fortuna Sittard, 1.81 for Twente) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Fortuna Sittard predictions
- All Twente predictions
- Eredivisie predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology