Eredivisie· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: 3-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: GO Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta Rotterdam. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for GO Ahead Eagles (69%), while a draw was rated at only 17%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (73%): correct.
Match analysis
GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam met on Saturday, October 10, 2026, a Eredivisie, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: De Adelaarshorst, Deventer. Before kick-off, our model gave GO Ahead Eagles a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sparta Rotterdam 14%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.1%), followed by 3-1 (8.0%) and 2-0 (8.0%).
GO Ahead Eagles have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 10 and conceding 11. Sparta Rotterdam have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 15. GO Ahead Eagles therefore arrive in far better shape than Sparta Rotterdam. On average GO Ahead Eagles score 2.00 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.40 and concede 3.00. In the table, GO Ahead Eagles sit 9th with 10 points from 7 games, Sparta Rotterdam 12th with 5 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, GO Ahead Eagles have averaged 1.66 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.82 for Sparta Rotterdam.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for GO Ahead Eagles, 1 for Sparta Rotterdam and 2 draws. The most recent ended Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles (May 3, 2026). GO Ahead Eagles out or doubtful: P. Saathof and E. Waayers. Sparta Rotterdam: S. Mito. In double chance terms, "GO Ahead Eagles or draw" stands at 86%, "Sparta Rotterdam or draw" at 31% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : GO Ahead Eagles are tipped by our AI model in this GO Ahead Eagles v Sparta Rotterdam (69%). In the table, GO Ahead Eagles (9th, 10 pts) host Sparta Rotterdam (12th, 5 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as GO Ahead Eagles – Sparta Rotterdam. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam | 9.1% |
| GO Ahead Eagles 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam | 8.0% |
| GO Ahead Eagles 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam | 8.0% |
| GO Ahead Eagles 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam | 7.0% |
| GO Ahead Eagles 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.64 expected goals for GO Ahead Eagles and 1.14 for Sparta Rotterdam, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 73% and "both teams to score" at 63%. Goals look likely in this one. GO Ahead Eagles keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Sparta Rotterdam in 7%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles expected goals | 2.64 |
| Sparta Rotterdam expected goals | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% |
| GO Ahead Eagles clean sheet | 32% |
| Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet | 7% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
GO Ahead Eagles
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Groningen · Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Utrecht · Eredivisie | 3-3 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie | 2-5 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie | 3-1 | W |
Sparta Rotterdam
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heerenveen · Eredivisie | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Excelsior · Eredivisie | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht · Eredivisie | 3-3 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 5 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Aug 23, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
Out and doubtful
GO Ahead Eagles
- P. Saathof (out)
- E. Waayers (out)
Sparta Rotterdam
- S. Mito (out)
Most regular starters
GO Ahead Eagles
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Sampsted5/5
- D. James5/5
- E. Linthorst5/5
- J. Dirksen5/5
- J. Kramer5/5
- K. Haug5/5
- M. Meulensteen5/5
- M. Suray5/5
- S. Tengstedt5/5
- V. Edvardsen5/5
- S. I. Sigurdarson3/5
Sparta Rotterdam
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Kuipers4/5
- B. Martins Indi4/5
- J. Baas4/5
- L. Martes4/5
- M. Young4/5
- M. Zonneveld4/5
- C. Hatenboer3/5
- C. Terho3/5
- M. Brouwer3/5
- M. van Bergen3/5
- S. Mito2/5
Other matches in this competition
- PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenOct 9, 2026
- Feyenoord 2-0 AZ AlkmaarOct 10, 2026
- Fortuna Sittard 1-1 TwenteOct 10, 2026
- Ajax 1-1 NEC NijmegenOct 10, 2026
- Utrecht 3-1 Willem IIOct 11, 2026
- Telstar 2-2 ADO Den HaagOct 11, 2026
- PEC Zwolle 0-1 CambuurOct 11, 2026
- Excelsior 1-5 GroningenOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave GO Ahead Eagles a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sparta Rotterdam 14%. GO Ahead Eagles are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-3.
What is the most likely correct score for GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
2-1 (9.1%), followed by 3-1 (8.0%), 2-0 (8.0%), 3-0 (7.0%) and 1-1 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The probability that both GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam score is 63%. GO Ahead Eagles have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sparta Rotterdam 7%.
How many goals should we expect in GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The model expects 3.78 goals (2.64 for GO Ahead Eagles, 1.14 for Sparta Rotterdam). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 89%, over 2.5 goals 73%, over 3.5 goals 52%.
When and where is GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Eredivisie, matchday 8. Venue: De Adelaarshorst, Deventer.
What form are GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam in?
GO Ahead Eagles: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 11 conceded). Sparta Rotterdam: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 15 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for GO Ahead Eagles, 1 for Sparta Rotterdam and 2 draws. The most recent ended Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles (May 3, 2026).
What was the GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: GO Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta Rotterdam. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for GO Ahead Eagles (69%), while a draw was rated at only 17%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (73%): correct.
How is the GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.64 for GO Ahead Eagles, 1.14 for Sparta Rotterdam) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All GO Ahead Eagles predictions
- All Sparta Rotterdam predictions
- Eredivisie predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology