Eredivisie· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 13:30 (UK time)
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag: 2-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Telstar 2-2 ADO Den Haag. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Telstar (47%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
Telstar and ADO Den Haag met on Sunday, October 11, 2026, a Eredivisie, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Sportpark Schoonenberg, Felsen. Before kick-off, our model gave Telstar a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ADO Den Haag 28%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
Telstar have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 8. ADO Den Haag have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 11. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Telstar score 0.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; ADO Den Haag score 1.20 and concede 2.20. In the table, Telstar sit 13th with 5 points from 7 games, ADO Den Haag 17th with 2 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Telstar have averaged 0.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.61 for ADO Den Haag.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Telstar and ADO Den Haag: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. ADO Den Haag: C. Peupion, L. Reischl, M. Jimenez (doubtful) and N. Thomas (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Telstar or draw" stands at 72%, "ADO Den Haag or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs Telstar to edge ADO Den Haag (47% probability). On recent form, Telstar have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while ADO Den Haag have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Telstar – ADO Den Haag. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Telstar 1-1 ADO Den Haag | 12.2% |
| Telstar 1-0 ADO Den Haag | 11.1% |
| Telstar 2-1 ADO Den Haag | 9.2% |
| Telstar 2-0 ADO Den Haag | 8.4% |
| Telstar 0-1 ADO Den Haag | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.51 expected goals for Telstar and 1.10 for ADO Den Haag, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Telstar keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, ADO Den Haag in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Telstar expected goals | 1.51 |
| ADO Den Haag expected goals | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Telstar clean sheet | 33% |
| ADO Den Haag clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Telstar
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Heerenveen · Eredivisie | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Twente · Eredivisie | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cambuur · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ajax · Eredivisie | 0-4 | L |
ADO Den Haag
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cambuur · Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Twente · Eredivisie | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Feyenoord · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 13 | 5 | 7 |
| ADO Den Haag | 17 | 2 | 7 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Telstar and ADO Den Haag: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Telstar
No absences reported.
ADO Den Haag
- C. Peupion (out)
- L. Reischl (out)
- M. Jimenez (doubtful)
- N. Thomas (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Telstar
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Soualhia5/5
- G. Alders5/5
- J. Hardeveld5/5
- M. Peersman5/5
- N. Rossen5/5
- P. Brouwer5/5
- R. Koeman Jr5/5
- R. Mendes5/5
- S. Valk5/5
- T. Owusu5/5
- N. Thorisson3/5
ADO Den Haag
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Rottier5/5
- J. Kilo5/5
- K. Nikiema5/5
- M. Hokke5/5
- P. Mulder5/5
- Y. Eduardo5/5
- N. Thomas4/5
- O. Raterink4/5
- D. van Mieghem3/5
- S. Sylla3/5
- J. Hawkins2/5
Other matches in this competition
- PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenOct 9, 2026
- GO Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta RotterdamOct 10, 2026
- Feyenoord 2-0 AZ AlkmaarOct 10, 2026
- Fortuna Sittard 1-1 TwenteOct 10, 2026
- Ajax 1-1 NEC NijmegenOct 10, 2026
- Utrecht 3-1 Willem IIOct 11, 2026
- PEC Zwolle 0-1 CambuurOct 11, 2026
- Excelsior 1-5 GroningenOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Telstar vs ADO Den Haag prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Telstar a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ADO Den Haag 28%. Telstar are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.2%), 2-0 (8.4%) and 0-1 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
The probability that both Telstar and ADO Den Haag score is 52%. Telstar have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, ADO Den Haag 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
The model expects 2.61 goals (1.51 for Telstar, 1.10 for ADO Den Haag). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Telstar vs ADO Den Haag played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 13:30 (UK time), Eredivisie, matchday 8. Venue: Sportpark Schoonenberg, Felsen.
What form are Telstar and ADO Den Haag in?
Telstar: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 8 conceded). ADO Den Haag: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 11 conceded).
What was the Telstar vs ADO Den Haag result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Telstar 2-2 ADO Den Haag. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Telstar (47%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the Telstar vs ADO Den Haag prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.51 for Telstar, 1.10 for ADO Den Haag) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Telstar predictions
- All ADO Den Haag predictions
- Eredivisie predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology