UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK: 2-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Dynamo Kyiv 2-3 PAOK. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for PAOK was the model's favourite outcome (40%). The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): missed.
Match analysis
Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Kyiv. Before kick-off, our model gave Dynamo Kyiv a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and PAOK 40%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.1%), ahead of 0-1 (12.0%) and 1-0 (10.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Dynamo Kyiv have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, PAOK have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 13 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Dynamo Kyiv score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; PAOK score 2.60 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Dynamo Kyiv or draw" stands at 60%, "PAOK or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 72%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Dynamo Kyiv – PAOK. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dynamo Kyiv 1-1 PAOK | 13.1% |
| Dynamo Kyiv 0-1 PAOK | 12.0% |
| Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 PAOK | 10.5% |
| Dynamo Kyiv 0-0 PAOK | 9.6% |
| Dynamo Kyiv 1-2 PAOK | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.34 goals in total (1.09 for Dynamo Kyiv, 1.25 for PAOK): over 2.5 goals has a 42% probability and both teams to score 47%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Dynamo Kyiv keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, PAOK in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Dynamo Kyiv expected goals | 1.09 |
| PAOK expected goals | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Dynamo Kyiv clean sheet | 29% |
| PAOK clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Dynamo Kyiv
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Radomiak Radom · Club Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Lask Linz · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Rapid · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
PAOK
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Twente · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | AEK Larnaca · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | KVC Westerlo · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Jul 1, 2026 | SK Beveren · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Dynamo Kyiv
No absences reported.
PAOK
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Qarabag 0-0 CSKA SofiaJul 23, 2026
- Hammarby FF 1-1 AnderlechtJul 23, 2026
- Tromso 0-1 Hradec KrálovéJul 23, 2026
- Sheriff Tiraspol 0-5 Maccabi Tel AvivJul 23, 2026
- FC ST. Gallen 2-1 BenficaJul 23, 2026
- Beşiktaş 1-0 FC MidtjyllandJul 23, 2026
- Twente 1-2 Ferencvarosi TCJul 23, 2026
- HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 PafosJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Dynamo Kyiv a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and PAOK 40%. PAOK are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK?
1-1 (13.1%), followed by 0-1 (12.0%), 1-0 (10.5%), 0-0 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK?
The probability that both Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK score is 47%. Dynamo Kyiv have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, PAOK 34%.
How many goals should we expect in Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK?
The model expects 2.34 goals (1.09 for Dynamo Kyiv, 1.25 for PAOK). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Kyiv.
What form are Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK in?
Dynamo Kyiv: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). PAOK: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Dynamo Kyiv 2-3 PAOK. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for PAOK was the model's favourite outcome (40%). The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): missed.
How is the Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.09 for Dynamo Kyiv, 1.25 for PAOK) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Dynamo Kyiv predictions
- All PAOK predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology