UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FC ST. Gallen 2-1 Benfica. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Benfica (71%), while victory for FC ST. Gallen was rated at only 12%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Kybunpark, St.Gallen. Before kick-off, our model gave FC ST. Gallen a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Benfica 71%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.6%), ahead of 0-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, FC ST. Gallen have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Over their last 5 matches, Benfica have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FC ST. Gallen score 1.80 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Benfica score 2.00 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC ST. Gallen and Benfica: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FC ST. Gallen or draw" stands at 29%, "Benfica or draw" at 88% and "no draw" at 83%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC ST. Gallen – Benfica. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC ST. Gallen 1-1 Benfica | 12.6% |
| FC ST. Gallen 0-1 Benfica | 9.9% |
| FC ST. Gallen 1-0 Benfica | 9.7% |
| FC ST. Gallen 1-2 Benfica | 8.2% |
| FC ST. Gallen 2-1 Benfica | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.58 goals in total (1.28 for FC ST. Gallen, 1.30 for Benfica): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 53%. FC ST. Gallen keep a clean sheet in 27% of scenarios, Benfica in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC ST. Gallen expected goals | 1.28 |
| Benfica expected goals | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| FC ST. Gallen clean sheet | 27% |
| Benfica clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
FC ST. Gallen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Norwich · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Lyon · Club Friendlies | 3-6 | L |
| Jul 1, 2026 | FC Winterthur · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 27, 2026 | SCR Altach · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Anderlecht · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Benfica
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Villarreal · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Flamengo · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| May 16, 2026 | Estoril · Primeira Liga | 3-1 | W |
| May 11, 2026 | SC Braga · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
| May 2, 2026 | Famalicao · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC ST. Gallen and Benfica: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
FC ST. Gallen
No absences reported.
Benfica
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Qarabag 0-0 CSKA SofiaJul 23, 2026
- Dynamo Kyiv 2-3 PAOKJul 23, 2026
- Hammarby FF 1-1 AnderlechtJul 23, 2026
- Tromso 0-1 Hradec KrálovéJul 23, 2026
- Sheriff Tiraspol 0-5 Maccabi Tel AvivJul 23, 2026
- Beşiktaş 1-0 FC MidtjyllandJul 23, 2026
- Twente 1-2 Ferencvarosi TCJul 23, 2026
- HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 PafosJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FC ST. Gallen a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Benfica 71%. Benfica are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica?
1-1 (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (9.9%), 1-0 (9.7%), 1-2 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica?
The probability that both FC ST. Gallen and Benfica score is 53%. FC ST. Gallen have a 27% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Benfica 28%.
How many goals should we expect in FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica?
The model expects 2.58 goals (1.28 for FC ST. Gallen, 1.30 for Benfica). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Kybunpark, St.Gallen.
What form are FC ST. Gallen and Benfica in?
FC ST. Gallen: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 12 conceded). Benfica: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FC ST. Gallen 2-1 Benfica. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Benfica (71%), while victory for FC ST. Gallen was rated at only 12%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.28 for FC ST. Gallen, 1.30 for Benfica) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC ST. Gallen predictions
- All Benfica predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology