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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: 0-5 result and AI prediction review

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol0 – 5Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Sheriff Tiraspol 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sheriff Tiraspol (52%), while victory for Maccabi Tel Aviv was rated at only 23%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Sheriff Stadium, Tiraspol. Before kick-off, our model gave Sheriff Tiraspol a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maccabi Tel Aviv 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Sheriff Tiraspol have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 8. Maccabi Tel Aviv have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Sheriff Tiraspol score 0.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Maccabi Tel Aviv score 0.40 and concede 1.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sheriff Tiraspol and Maccabi Tel Aviv: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Sheriff Tiraspol or draw" stands at 77%, "Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
Sheriff Tiraspol (Win)
25%
Draw
23%
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Win)

Double chance

77%
Sheriff Tiraspol or draw
48%
Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Sheriff Tiraspol – Maccabi Tel Aviv. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Sheriff Tiraspol 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv11.7%
Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv11.5%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv9.6%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv9.4%
Sheriff Tiraspol 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for Sheriff Tiraspol, 1.02 for Maccabi Tel Aviv): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Sheriff Tiraspol keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Maccabi Tel Aviv in 19%.

Probability
Sheriff Tiraspol expected goals1.64
Maccabi Tel Aviv expected goals1.02
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Sheriff Tiraspol clean sheet36%
Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Sheriff Tiraspol

DateOpponentScore
Jul 16, 2026Aluminij · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Jul 9, 2026Aluminij · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Aug 14, 2025Anderlecht · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Aug 7, 2025Anderlecht · UEFA Conference League0-3L
Jul 31, 2025Utrecht · UEFA Europa League1-4L

Maccabi Tel Aviv

DateOpponentScore
Jul 3, 2026IMT Novi Beograd · Club Friendlies0-1L
Jun 30, 2026Alashkert · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jan 29, 2026Bologna · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Jan 22, 2026SC Freiburg · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Dec 11, 2025VfB Stuttgart · UEFA Europa League1-4L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sheriff Tiraspol and Maccabi Tel Aviv: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Sheriff Tiraspol

No absences reported.

Maccabi Tel Aviv

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Sheriff Tiraspol a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maccabi Tel Aviv 23%. Sheriff Tiraspol are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-5.

What is the most likely correct score for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

The probability that both Sheriff Tiraspol and Maccabi Tel Aviv score is 52%. Sheriff Tiraspol have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Maccabi Tel Aviv 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Sheriff Tiraspol, 1.02 for Maccabi Tel Aviv). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv played?

Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Sheriff Stadium, Tiraspol.

What form are Sheriff Tiraspol and Maccabi Tel Aviv in?

Sheriff Tiraspol: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 8 conceded). Maccabi Tel Aviv: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 9 conceded).

What was the Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Sheriff Tiraspol 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sheriff Tiraspol (52%), while victory for Maccabi Tel Aviv was rated at only 23%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Sheriff Tiraspol, 1.02 for Maccabi Tel Aviv) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained